sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,954

gesst

0xada…f9f2
SharpPnL 10k+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$44.8kvol $1.55M
PnL 30d+$90.6kgains $10.3k · losses $1,655
PnL 7d+$89.7kwin rate 7d 64.7%
Win rate64.3%adj 63.8% · 30d 64.2%
Open value$3,089cash n/a
Positions82 / 582open / all-time
Max drawdown−0.6%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 12h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$130kbelow peak $0Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

78/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale66
Adjusted win rateraw 64.3% · shrunk toward 50%59
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable92
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity99

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 82

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?No93094.3¢96¢$892+$16+$15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes3,38219.4¢14.5¢$490−$167−$0.06
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Romania?Yes77612.1¢35.3¢$274+$180+$99
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD?Yes1,3644.9¢15.1¢$206+$139+$18
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No96315.8¢14.2¢$137−$15+$758
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?No11775¢73.5¢$86−$1.76+$179
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No10050¢84.5¢$85+$35$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027?Yes20944¢37.5¢$78−$14$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?Yes16052¢47¢$75−$8.00$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027?Yes12660¢57.5¢$72−$3.15$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?No10071¢68.5¢$69−$2.50$0
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?No6759¢94¢$63+$24$0
Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% in 2026?No16035¢38¢$61+$4.80$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?Yes7534¢78.5¢$59+$33+$2.84
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No15039¢37.5¢$56−$2.25$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes10051¢55.5¢$56+$4.50$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Yes15039¢32.5¢$49−$9.75$0
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes9949¢43.5¢$43−$5.43−$1.93
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes42221¢9.5¢$40−$49+$48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?Yes32419¢11.5¢$37−$24$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?Yes11038¢28.5¢$31−$10$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No10035¢24.5¢$25−$11$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?Yes4091.3¢4.3¢$17+$12+$11
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Yes8002.3¢2.1¢$16−$2.24$0
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1,0002.8¢1¢$9.50−$18$0
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1,2103.6¢0.7¢$7.87−$35$0
Romanian parliament dissolved by December 31?No580¢87¢$4.35+$0.35$0
Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes5070.6¢0.8¢$3.80+$0.83+$63
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + AUR?Yes465¢5.7¢$2.62+$0.32+$2.04
Will Carles Puigdemont be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes4,2001.7¢0.1¢$2.10−$70$0
Will María Jesús Montero be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes4,2001.7¢0.1¢$2.10−$70$0
Will Cuca Gamarra be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes4,2001.7¢0.1¢$2.10−$70$0
Will Miguel Tellado be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes4,2001.7¢0.1¢$2.10−$70$0
Will Óscar Puente be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes4,2001.7¢0.1¢$2.10−$70$0
Will Ester Muñoz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes4,2001.7¢0.1¢$2.10−$70$0
Will Pepa Millán be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes4,2001.7¢0.1¢$2.10−$70$0
Will Borja Sémper be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes4,2001.7¢0.1¢$2.10−$70$0
Will Aitor Esteban be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes4,2001.7¢0.1¢$2.10−$70$0
Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes4,2001.7¢0.1¢$2.10−$70$0
Will Ernest Urtasun be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes4,2001.7¢0.1¢$2.10−$70$0
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1131.2¢1.6¢$1.76+$0.37+$84
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes2502¢0.5¢$1.25−$3.85+$40
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1,2103.6¢0.1¢$1.21−$42$0
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,2000.5¢0.1¢$0.60−$5.82$0
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,2000.5¢0.1¢$0.60−$5.82$0
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,2000.5¢0.1¢$0.60−$5.82$0
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,2000.5¢0.1¢$0.60−$5.82$0
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,2000.5¢0.1¢$0.60−$5.82$0
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,2000.5¢0.1¢$0.60−$5.82$0
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,2000.5¢0.1¢$0.60−$5.82$0
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,2000.5¢0.1¢$0.60−$5.82$0
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,2000.5¢0.1¢$0.60−$5.82$0
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,2000.5¢0.1¢$0.60−$5.82$0
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,2000.5¢0.1¢$0.60−$5.82$0
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,2000.5¢0.1¢$0.60−$5.82$0
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,2000.5¢0.1¢$0.60−$5.82$0
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,2000.5¢0.1¢$0.60−$5.82$0
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,2000.5¢0.1¢$0.60−$5.82$0
Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,2000.5¢0.1¢$0.60−$5.82$0
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,2000.5¢0.1¢$0.60−$5.82$0
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,2000.5¢0.1¢$0.60−$5.82$0
Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,2000.5¢0.1¢$0.60−$5.82$0
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,2000.5¢0.1¢$0.60−$5.82$0
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,2000.5¢0.1¢$0.60−$5.82$0
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1,0002.8¢0.1¢$0.50−$27$0
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1,0002.8¢0.1¢$0.50−$27$0
Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1,0002.8¢0.1¢$0.50−$27$0
Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1,0002.8¢0.1¢$0.50−$27$0
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1,0002.8¢0.1¢$0.50−$27$0
Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes8920.4¢0.1¢$0.45−$3.45$0
Romanian PM Bolojan out by July 31?Yes8,2445¢0¢$0−$412−$54
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?Yes6,0000.7¢0¢$0−$42−$2.92
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?Yes4,5043¢0¢$0−$137−$5.29
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1,9003.1¢0¢$0−$59$0
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1,9003.1¢0¢$0−$59$0
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,0004.5¢0¢$0−$45−$1.29
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 September 14-20?Yes1,0001.1¢0¢$0−$11−$0.74
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?Yes77410.5¢0¢$0−$81−$1.24
Will Trump Leave China on May 16?Yes6141.2¢0¢$0−$7.36$0
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?Yes4901.1¢0¢$0−$5.39−$0.37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No32013.6¢0¢$0−$44−$1.88
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No506.3¢0¢$0−$3.15−$0.15

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?13¢526$6864%78Sharp
SELL YesWill another result occur for the next governing coalition of Romania?39.7¢376$14964%78Sharp
BUY YesWill another result occur for the next governing coalition of Romania?14.2¢800$11464%78Sharp
BUY YesWill the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + AUR?5¢46$2.3064%78Sharp
SELL YesWill the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR?13.2¢164$2264%78Sharp
SELL YesWill the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR?12.6¢364$4664%78Sharp
SELL YesWill the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?69¢40$2864%78Sharp
SELL YesWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?0.1¢330$0.3364%78Sharp
SELL YesWill Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?0.3¢212$0.6364%78Sharp
SELL YesWill Leonardo Badea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?0.4¢1,045$4.3664%78Sharp
SELL YesWill Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?1.4¢89$1.2864%78Sharp
BUY YesWill another result occur for the next governing coalition of Romania?6.4¢160$1064%78Sharp
SELL YesWill Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?0.5¢1,200$6.0064%78Sharp
SELL YesWill Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?0.1¢4,200$4.2064%78Sharp
SELL YesWill Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?0.2¢3,800$7.6064%78Sharp
SELL YesWill Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?1.3¢2,500$3264%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?81.4¢2,500$2,03564%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?20¢2,500$50064%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?98.7¢1,000$98764%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?81.3¢1,000$81364%78Sharp