PnL all-time−$13vol $32.4k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate44.4%adj 46.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$880cash n/a
Positions9 / 38open / all-time
Max drawdown−2.2%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$13below peak −$22Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
22/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 44.4% · shrunk toward 50%17
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable53
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity98
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Finland win Eurovision 2025? · Noclosed+$11Will Curtis Sliwa drop out? · Noclosed+$5.04Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025? · Noopen+$3.52Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July? · Noclosed+$2.30Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 65% of the vote in the South Korea election? · Noclosed+$1.32
Worst markets
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship? · Yesopen−$11Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March? · Yesopen−$6.60Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of December 15 above $510? · Noclosed−$3.29Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on December 20? · Noclosed−$2.07Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025? · Yesopen−$1.97
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025? | No | 320 | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | $320 | +$3.52 | $0 | |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026? | No | 310 | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $310 | +$0.62 | $0 | |
| Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting? | No | 250 | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $250 | +$1.30 | $0 |
Recent trades
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