sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

RafaelWarp

0xae8…e343
WR 60+1y+PoliticsSportCryptoOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$32vol $26.3k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate62.5%adj 55.6% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$371cash n/a
Positions5 / 24open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 6mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

Not enough history to draw an equity curve.

SharpScore inputs

22/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 62.5% · shrunk toward 50%39
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable46
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 1

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of March?No37199.4¢100¢$371+$2.23$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?0.2¢730$1.4663%22
BUY YesWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?0.4¢530$2.1263%22
SELL NoWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of March?99.7¢390$38963%22
BUY NoWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of March?99.6¢390$38863%22
BUY NoWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of March?99.4¢371$36963%22
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?99.6¢440$43863%22
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?99.8¢580$57963%22
BUY NoWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2,900 on November 14?99¢500$49563%22
SELL NoWill Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?99.7¢90$9063%22
BUY YesWill Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%?8.7¢262$2363%22
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?0.4¢275$1.1063%22
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?99.9¢260$26063%22
BUY NoWill the price of Bitcoin be between $112K and $113K on August 3 at 5PM ET?99.6¢300$29963%22
BUY NoSouth Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by July 31?99.5¢580$57763%22
SELL NoWill 13-15 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?98.7¢22$2263%22
SELL NoWill Liam Lawson win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?99.1¢15$1563%22
BUY NoWill Liam Lawson win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?99.9¢520$51963%22
SELL NoWill the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?99¢290$28763%22
SELL NoWill 13-15 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?95.9¢156$15063%22
BUY NoWill Lois Boisson win the 2025 French Open? 99.4¢240$23963%22