sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

BettingBoi

0xaee…05e9
WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$3,567vol $588k
PnL 30d+$34gains $4.34 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$33win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate73.7%adj 72.2% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$13.0kcash n/a
Positions98 / 410open / all-time
Max drawdown−68.6%of equity peak
Account age1.7ylast trade 1mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$3,944below peak −$2,816Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

53/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale51
Adjusted win rateraw 73.7% · shrunk toward 50%81
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable87
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity31

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 98

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No8,00050¢51.6¢$4,124+$124$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8,00050¢48.4¢$3,876−$124−$6.07
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No2,01596¢97.8¢$1,970+$35+$167
Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?No1,50086.5¢91.5¢$1,372+$76$0
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?No37175.6¢96.2¢$357+$76+$9.71
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?No27682.6¢87.5¢$242+$14+$9.31
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes16088.2¢96¢$154+$12+$5.34
Will the Buffalo Sabres be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes7,8452.5¢1.9¢$145−$53$0
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No22074¢61.5¢$135−$28$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes29824¢41.5¢$124+$52$0
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes1,4966¢6.5¢$97+$7.48$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No19723.9¢41.5¢$82+$35$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,0002.8¢3.2¢$63+$7.00$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes30411¢16.5¢$50+$17$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No40020.5¢9.5¢$38−$44+$2.00
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes4006¢6.3¢$25+$1.00$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes20014¢12.5¢$25−$3.00$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes6555¢37.5¢$24−$11$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes4003.1¢5.1¢$20+$8.00$0
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes5006.3¢3.5¢$18−$14$0
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No1099.4¢99.9¢$9.98+$0.04$0
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No1099.4¢99.9¢$9.98+$0.04$0
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No1086¢96.5¢$9.65+$1.05$0
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?No1076¢94.5¢$9.45+$1.85$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No1083¢93.5¢$9.35+$1.05$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No1065¢82.5¢$8.25+$1.75+$7.60
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes3428¢18.5¢$6.29−$3.23$0
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes18027.7¢1.6¢$2.88−$47−$4.13
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No258¢87¢$1.50+$0.50$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No146.8¢93.5¢$0.94+$0.47−$77
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No132.9¢91¢$0.92+$0.59+$15
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes50015.4¢0.1¢$0.50−$76$0
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?No11.2k4.1¢0¢$0−$461−$12
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?No2,53812.1¢0¢$0−$308−$5.46
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes2,0590.9¢0¢$0−$19+$17
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes2,02011.1¢0¢$0−$224$0
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes2,0109.2¢0¢$0−$184−$126
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes1,9772.2¢0¢$0−$43+$0.57
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No1,91055.9¢0¢$0−$1,067−$178
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?No1,8346.9¢0¢$0−$126−$1.93
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?No1,82059.9¢0¢$0−$1,091+$158
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No1,63360.6¢0¢$0−$990−$46
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes1,4533.1¢0¢$0−$46−$1.55
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago CubsColorado Rockies1,39034¢0¢$0−$473$0
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?No1,2772.5¢0¢$0−$32−$0.01
Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?Yes1,2097.2¢0¢$0−$87−$0.65
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes1,1571.1¢0¢$0−$13−$35
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No1,04033.3¢0¢$0−$346−$2.52
Will Caleb Wilson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?Yes1,0310.2¢0¢$0−$2.06−$0.06
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No1,01618¢0¢$0−$183−$2.66
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?No8024.1¢0¢$0−$33−$0.75
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Yes7613.6¢0¢$0−$28−$0.06
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No65023¢0¢$0−$150$0
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No63873.2¢0¢$0−$467−$30
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No57340.4¢0¢$0−$231−$2.39
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.04
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No49035¢0¢$0−$171−$0.46
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No48356¢0¢$0−$270−$3.57
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?Yes43752.4¢0¢$0−$229−$0.74
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas RangersTexas Rangers38460¢0¢$0−$231−$2.77
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes37714.4¢0¢$0−$54+$46
Will Stephon Castle win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?Yes3170.2¢0¢$0−$0.63$0
Will Brad Lander be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?No30013¢0¢$0−$39−$1.36
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No28062¢0¢$0−$174−$0.49
Will Jeremy Swayman win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?Yes2774.3¢0¢$0−$12−$0.34
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes27633.1¢0¢$0−$91−$1.83
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes2006¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will Trump visit China by May 31?No2004.4¢0¢$0−$8.80$0
Will Darryn Peterson be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?Yes1681.3¢0¢$0−$2.18$0
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?No14113.3¢0¢$0−$19−$0.65
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Yes1240.3¢0¢$0−$0.37$0
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Yes1171.2¢0¢$0−$1.41−$0.03
Will Keaton Wagler be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?No10069¢0¢$0−$69$0
Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?Yes1009¢0¢$0−$9.00$0
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?No10029¢0¢$0−$29$0
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes10019.8¢0¢$0−$20$0
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)Zhang Mingyang10068¢0¢$0−$68$0
Will Chip Roy win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?Yes1002¢0¢$0−$2.00$0
Will Mayes Middleton win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?No1002¢0¢$0−$1.99$0
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Yes9167.8¢0¢$0−$62−$7.45
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?No7678.5¢0¢$0−$60$0
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No7563¢0¢$0−$48−$20
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?No7075¢0¢$0−$53$0
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?Yes673.9¢0¢$0−$2.62−$0.08
Will James Harden win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?Yes550.8¢0¢$0−$0.44$0
Will Dan Goldman be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?Yes5112¢0¢$0−$6.14$0
Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Yes471.3¢0¢$0−$0.61+$12
Will Brett Howden lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in goals?Yes3628.8¢0¢$0−$10−$0.22
Will Jordan Staal win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?No3543.9¢0¢$0−$15−$0.26
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)Ding Meng3251¢0¢$0−$16−$0.09
Will Caleb Wilson be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?Yes312.2¢0¢$0−$0.68−$0.02
Will Colorado Avalanche vs Carolina Hurricanes be the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals matchup?Yes2515¢0¢$0−$3.70−$0.09
AHL: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs. Toronto MarliesWilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins1754¢0¢$0−$9.39$0
Will Vegas Golden Knights advance to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?No1533¢0¢$0−$4.92$0
Will the Minnesota Wild win the Western Conference?Yes119.3¢0¢$0−$1.02$0
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Yes911¢0¢$0−$0.94−$0.03
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Yes640¢0¢$0−$2.54+$31
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?Yes554¢0¢$0−$2.70$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?96.6¢5$4.8374%53
BUY YesWill the Buffalo Sabres be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?2.5¢6,742$16974%53
BUY YesWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?3.5¢1,000$3574%53
BUY NoWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?58¢1,234$71674%53
BUY NoWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?52¢676$35274%53
BUY YesWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?33.1¢276$9174%53
BUY NoWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?82¢90$7474%53
BUY NoWill Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?78¢1,261$98474%53
SELL YesWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?48¢1,468$70574%53
BUY NoWill Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?35¢68$2474%53
BUY YesWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?2.6¢203$5.2774%53
BUY YesWill Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?7¢600$4274%53
BUY NoWill John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?7¢647$4574%53
BUY NoWill John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?6.9¢96$6.6174%53
BUY NoWill Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?41¢220$9074%53
BUY NoWill France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?34¢270$9274%53
BUY NoWill Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?18¢100$1874%53
BUY NoWill Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?18¢500$9074%53
BUY NoWill Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?40¢110$4474%53
BUY NoWill France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?33¢106$3574%53