sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Unranked

infolitio

0xaf2…7f92
WR 60+1y+PoliticsSportCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$144kvol $2.69M
PnL 30d+$4,491gains $20.5k · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate69.8%adj 63.5% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$2,385cash n/a
Positions18 / 61open / all-time
Max drawdown−40.8%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 2mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$145kbelow peak −$15.7kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

22/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 69.8% · shrunk toward 50%59
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable60
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity59

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Noclosed+$15.0kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$14.5kUS forces enter Iran by April 30? · Yesclosed+$10.1kWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Noclosed+$9,897US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · Yesclosed+$8,972

Worst markets

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$114kTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? · Yesopen−$53.2kRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yesopen−$18.3kRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? · Yesopen−$14.4kWill Biden finish his term? · Noclosed−$10.8k

Open positions · 18

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes10,00026¢11.5¢$1,150−$1,450$0
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?No80045.9¢98.5¢$788+$421$0
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?Yes8,1298¢5.5¢$447−$203$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No400k0.9¢0¢$0−$3,521−$95
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes130k41¢0¢$0−$53.2k$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes46.9k5.9¢0¢$0−$2,753$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes36.4k24.4¢0¢$0−$8,870$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes23.2k78.8¢0¢$0−$18.3k$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes22.3k64.6¢0¢$0−$14.4k$0
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?No10.0k0.9¢0¢$0−$90−$4.47
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes8,5632.4¢0¢$0−$206$0
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?Yes8,0584.6¢0¢$0−$374$0
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)Derrick Lewis5,00021¢0¢$0−$1,050−$25
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?Yes2,9007.6¢0¢$0−$220$0
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?Yes2,00024¢0¢$0−$480−$11
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)Steve Garcia1,00050¢0¢$0−$500−$0.48
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?Yes2912.5¢0¢$0−$7.27−$0.28
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?Yes27010¢0¢$0−$27−$1.22

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?24¢175k$42.1k70%22Whale
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?60¢290$17470%22
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?60¢1,070$64270%22
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?60.8¢26$1670%22
SELL NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?62¢4,167$2,58470%22
SELL NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?64¢1,579$1,01170%22
BUY YesWill "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?10¢270$2770%22
BUY YesMichael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?8¢8,129$65070%22
BUY YesIran leadership change by December 31?26¢3,732$97070%22
BUY YesKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?2.4¢8,563$20670%22
BUY NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?36¢3,119$1,12370%22
SELL NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?4.1¢7,728$31770%22
BUY YesWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?24¢135k$32.4k70%22Whale
SELL NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?4.4¢1,144$5070%22
BUY YesWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?21¢17.7k$3,72370%22
BUY YesWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?17¢21.5k$3,66070%22
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?83¢3,000$2,49070%22
BUY YesKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?5.9¢44.4k$2,61270%22
BUY YesKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?5.6¢2,507$14070%22
SELL NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?20¢15.0k$3,00070%22