sharpside
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0xaf4…5662

0xaf4…5662
SharpWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$988vol $79.5k
PnL 30d+$284gains $23 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$29win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate86.7%adj 82.8% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$11.1kcash n/a
Positions67 / 236open / all-time
Max drawdown−12.1%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 22h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,318below peak −$6.77Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

78/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale43
Adjusted win rateraw 86.7% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable79
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity88

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 67

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? No2,74994.4¢97.5¢$2,680+$85+$41
ByteDance IPO before 2027?No1,08294.1¢97.9¢$1,060+$41+$2.56
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?No69993.6¢98.5¢$689+$34+$0.51
Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2026?No46191.3¢92.8¢$428+$6.96$0
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?No41792.5¢91.4¢$381−$4.68$0
Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026?No35995.3¢97.4¢$349+$7.36$0
Rippling IPO before 2027?No36292¢96.3¢$348+$15$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No34889.6¢96.4¢$335+$23+$12
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?No31992.8¢92.8¢$296−$0.07$0
US plague travel ban on Russia in 2026?No31293¢92.5¢$288−$1.43$0
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No26895¢97¢$260+$5.23$0
T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?No26394.8¢95¢$250+$0.41$0
Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by December 31?No25389.7¢89.5¢$226−$0.52$0
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?No22391.9¢94.5¢$211+$5.73$0
Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?No20391.1¢96.7¢$196+$11+$3.28
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?No20694.2¢94.5¢$195+$0.57$0
Baidu announces a training pause by October 31?No19397.9¢98.5¢$190+$1.08$0
Alibaba announces a training pause by October 31?No19098¢98.5¢$187+$0.93$0
Meituan announces a training pause by October 31?No18697.7¢98.2¢$183+$0.89$0
Will Trump nationalize elections?No19591.3¢91¢$178−$0.61$0
ByteDance announces a training pause by October 31?No17398¢98.2¢$170+$0.28$0
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No16192.7¢98.5¢$159+$9.30+$261
FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?No14997.9¢97.2¢$145−$1.07$0
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?No14294¢96¢$136+$2.84$0
Anduril IPO before 2027?No12193¢97.6¢$118+$5.58+$0.61
Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?No11294.2¢95.1¢$107+$1.01$0
Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?No10996.9¢96¢$105−$1.01$0
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?No10087¢96.5¢$96+$9.45$0
Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?No9494.5¢97.7¢$92+$2.98+$0.48
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?No7492.9¢95¢$70+$1.53$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No6993.4¢96.7¢$67+$2.25$0
Z.ai announces a training pause by October 31?No6098¢98.4¢$59+$0.21$0
Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?No5998.1¢99.7¢$59+$0.91$0
Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?No5995.1¢95.8¢$56+$0.38$0
Turkish troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?No5996¢95.6¢$56−$0.25$0
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?No5995¢94.5¢$56−$0.29$0
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?No5694¢93.8¢$53−$0.11$0
DeepSeek announces a training pause by October 31?No5397.9¢97.4¢$52−$0.31$0
Ledger IPO before 2027?No5291.2¢97.8¢$50+$3.37+$2.14
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?No4292¢97.8¢$41+$2.39+$2.32
Tennessee makes electric chair execution default in 2026?No4092.5¢97.1¢$39+$1.82$0
Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?No4092.5¢94.5¢$38+$0.80$0
Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?No3987.7¢86.5¢$34−$0.45−$0.35
Moonshot announces a training pause by October 31?No3098¢97.9¢$29−$0.03$0
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No280¢96.5¢$27+$27$0
Ebola pandemic in 2026?No2290¢98.4¢$22+$1.85+$172
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?No2585.2¢86¢$22+$0.20$0
Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?No2087¢87.5¢$18+$0.10$0
GTA 6 launch postponed again?No1769.3¢96.2¢$16+$4.56+$6.27
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?No1692¢94¢$15+$0.31$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No1592.6¢97.8¢$15+$0.77$0
Trump on $250 bill this year?No1593¢97.6¢$15+$0.69+$2.01
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?No1695.2¢90.8¢$15−$0.71$0
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?No1583.7¢96.5¢$14+$1.92$0
McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?No1592.7¢96¢$14+$0.50$0
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?No1585¢88¢$13+$0.45$0
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?No1488.6¢87.5¢$12−$0.15$0
Trump Admin held in contempt over press ban by October 31?No1397.6¢78.9¢$10−$2.43$0
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?No1093¢95.2¢$9.52+$0.21$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No998¢100¢$8.75+$0.17$0
Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?No1092¢71¢$7.09−$2.10$0
Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?No594.5¢97¢$4.89+$0.12$0
US strike on Mexico by December 31?No590¢96.2¢$4.81+$0.31$0
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?No589¢93.5¢$4.67+$0.23$0
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No583¢93.5¢$4.67+$0.53$0
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?No491.6¢96.5¢$3.85+$0.20+$12
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?No1194.3¢0¢$0−$10−$0.01

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoHantavirus vaccine in 2026? 97.4¢16$1687%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump nationalize elections?91¢130$11887%78Sharp
BUY NoWill "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?96.8¢10$9.6887%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?95¢33$3187%78Sharp
SELL NoHantavirus vaccine in 2026? 97.4¢239$23387%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?93¢36$3387%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?86¢15$1387%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump nationalize elections?91¢19$1787%78Sharp
BUY NoTurkish troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?97.1¢29$2887%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?92.8¢20$1987%78Sharp
BUY NoWill "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?96.9¢89$8687%78Sharp
BUY NoTrump Admin held in contempt over press ban by October 31?97.6¢13$1387%78Sharp
BUY NoUS plague travel ban on Russia in 2026?93¢299$27887%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?92.8¢10$9.2887%78Sharp
BUY NoWill "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?96.7¢10$9.6787%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?95¢268$25587%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?95¢59$5687%78Sharp
BUY NoTrump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?87¢20$1787%78Sharp
BUY NoVenezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by December 31?91¢20$1887%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?92.8¢200$18687%78Sharp