PnL all-time+$3,803vol $376k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $34
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate74.8%adj 72.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,099cash n/a
Positions6 / 208open / all-time
Max drawdown−41.6%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 22h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$3,803below peak −$90Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
69/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale51
Adjusted win rateraw 74.8% · shrunk toward 50%81
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable77
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity58
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yesclosed+$759Will Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get between 60m and 70m views in first 24 hours? · Yesclosed+$716Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025? · Noclosed+$621Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? · Yesclosed+$508Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30? · Yesclosed+$505
Worst markets
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,165 | 94.3¢ | 94.4¢ | $1,099 | +$0.58 | $0 | |
| Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025? | No | 200 | 45¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$90 | $0 | |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference? | No | 195 | 95.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$186 | −$43 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | No | 131 | 64.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$85 | −$89 | |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 49 | 34¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17 | −$6.63 | |
| Will Trump say "China" 7+ times during his AI speech on July 23? | No | 9 | 24¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.16 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s