PnL all-time+$4,064vol $195k
PnL 30d+$3,548gains $0 · losses $146
PnL 7d+$396win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate75.0%adj 57.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$74.9kcash n/a
Positions8 / 16open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 5mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$27.2kbelow peak −$392Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
19/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale52
Adjusted win rateraw 75.0% · shrunk toward 50%43
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable40
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · Noopen+$23.1kWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? · Noclosed+$2,897Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? · Noclosed+$1,620Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31? · Noclosed+$1,159Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15? · Yesclosed+$970
Worst markets
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more? · Noopen−$1,396Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation? · Yesopen−$1,000Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation? · Yesopen−$500Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? · Noopen−$375Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? · Noopen−$200
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | No | 78.5k | 65.6¢ | 95¢ | $74.5k | +$23.1k | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 357 | 84.1¢ | 96.4¢ | $344 | +$44 | $0 | |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | No | 9,375 | 4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$375 | $0 | |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more? | No | 3,612 | 54.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,962 | +$566 | |
| Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation? | Yes | 1,087 | 92¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,000 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation? | Yes | 989 | 50.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$500 | $0 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | No | 760 | 26.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$200 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Address to the Nation? | Yes | 346 | 28.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 |
Recent trades
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