sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

ChoiceMeteor2520

0xb08…5138
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+CryptoSportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$8,114vol $2.39M
PnL 30d+$797gains $662 · losses $632
PnL 7d+$76win rate 7d 95.5%
Win rate94.6%adj 92.8% · 30d 94.6%
Open value$3,907cash n/a
Positions80 / 10,544open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 8m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$7,627below peak −$8,151Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

46/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 94.6% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 80

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?No20091.8¢95.7¢$191+$7.79+$6.91
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes20083¢83.5¢$167+$1.00$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No20083¢83.5¢$167+$1.00$0
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No17884.2¢87.5¢$156+$5.78$0
Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?No15097.1¢96.9¢$145−$0.38$0
GTA VI released by November 30?Yes14094.7¢95.6¢$134+$1.14$0
Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026?No13491.6¢97.5¢$131+$7.85+$0.52
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes15088.9¢87¢$130−$2.92+$1.35
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?No13692.2¢92.4¢$126+$0.33$0
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?No13094.8¢95.6¢$124+$1.01$0
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR?No14988.8¢83¢$123−$8.75+$2.76
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?No10098.1¢99¢$99+$0.81+$0.44
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?No10098¢98.7¢$99+$0.62+$0.38
Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?Yes15070.3¢64.5¢$97−$8.75$0
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Romania?No12088.9¢75.9¢$91−$16$0
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes12582¢71.5¢$89−$13+$7.00
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No10084¢84¢$84$0$0
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes14361.6¢58.5¢$84−$4.45$0
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?Yes8587.3¢94.1¢$80+$5.78+$0.65
Will Ethereum hit $6k by December 31, 2026?No8096.6¢97¢$78+$0.36$0
Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?No8091.4¢96.9¢$77+$4.34$0
Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?No7796.7¢97.5¢$75+$0.58$0
Will XRP reach $3.20 by December 31, 2026?No6792.3¢94.9¢$64+$1.77+$0.03
Will XRP reach $3.60 by December 31, 2026?No6091.6¢96.4¢$58+$2.86+$0.29
Will XRP reach $4.00 by December 31, 2026?No5892.8¢95.8¢$55+$1.72$0
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR?No5786.8¢88.9¢$51+$1.22−$4.56
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No5492.4¢90.4¢$49−$1.09$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No5093.3¢95¢$47+$0.82−$20
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR?No5099.8¢94.8¢$47−$2.50$0
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?No5092¢94.5¢$47+$1.25$0
Will over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?No5093¢93.8¢$47+$0.38$0
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?No5086.7¢89.6¢$45+$1.43+$0.60
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes6078.3¢74.5¢$45−$2.30+$0.55
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?No5086¢87.5¢$44+$0.75$0
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?No5081¢80.5¢$40−$0.25$0
Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026?No4091.5¢96¢$38+$1.80$0
Will over 64 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?No4087¢95¢$38+$3.18$0
Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026?No4092.5¢94¢$38+$0.60$0
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No5065¢70¢$35+$2.50$0
LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?Yes4089.4¢85.5¢$34−$1.58$0
Will Hyperliquid reach $150 by December 31, 2026?No3289.5¢92.5¢$30+$0.96+$1.68
Will "You Can See Everything" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes3093¢97.3¢$29+$1.29$0
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?$1,00010523.4¢27¢$28+$3.75$0
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?No3967.5¢67.5¢$26+$0.02+$0.21
Neutrl FDV above $20M one day after launch?No3081.6¢82.5¢$25+$0.26$0
Will over 66 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?No2691.6¢94.1¢$24+$0.65$0
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes3467.9¢69.5¢$24+$0.53+$5.45
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?No2490¢98.1¢$23+$1.93+$1.22
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?No2096.2¢98.1¢$20+$0.37$0
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026?No2096.6¢96.8¢$19+$0.04$0
Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026?No2093.9¢95.3¢$19+$0.28+$0.14
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?No2079¢93.5¢$19+$2.90+$0.76
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No2092¢93.5¢$19+$0.30$0
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No2093¢93.5¢$19+$0.10$0
Will Matt Damon rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?No2095.6¢92.7¢$19−$0.59$0
Will Hyperliquid reach $120 by December 31, 2026?No2178.1¢83¢$17+$1.01$0
Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No2088¢85¢$17−$0.60$0
Will Courtland Sutton have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No2096¢84.7¢$17−$2.26$0
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Yes2071¢73.5¢$15+$0.50$0
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No1499¢97.9¢$14−$0.16$0
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?Yes2064¢62¢$12−$0.40$0
Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?No2076¢59¢$12−$3.40−$5.53
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No2051¢58.5¢$12+$1.50$0
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic1293.3¢95.5¢$11+$0.25+$3.38
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?No1099¢99.4¢$9.94+$0.04$0
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankingsYes2078¢45¢$9.00−$6.60$0
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No699¢99.8¢$5.99+$0.04−$1.96
Will "Other Mommy" score at least 18 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes1482¢40¢$5.64−$5.93$0
Bristol City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 5.5Under1098.5¢51¢$5.10−$4.75$0
Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?Yes2048¢25¢$5.00−$4.60$0
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No599¢99.5¢$4.91+$0.02$0
Will over 68 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?No596.4¢96.1¢$4.80−$0.01$0
Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?No590.5¢94.8¢$4.74+$0.21+$1.22
Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?No2045¢16.5¢$3.30−$5.70$0
Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder599¢50¢$2.50−$2.45$0
Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: Team to Take First CornerFluminense FC599¢50¢$2.50−$2.45$0
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes15978.9¢1.4¢$2.15−$123$0
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes5020.2¢3.7¢$1.85−$8.25$0
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR + UDMR?Yes425.2¢4.1¢$1.69−$0.48+$8.15
Will Timothée Chalamet be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes53.8¢0.3¢$0.01−$0.18+$6.96

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?0.6¢22.5k$13895%46
BUY NoWill XRP reach $1.45 on October 11?99¢50$5095%46
BUY NoWill XRP reach $1.45 on October 11?98.9¢10$9.8395%46
BUY NoWill Ethereum dip to $2,400 on October 11?99.5¢40$4095%46
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 11?99.7¢20$2095%46
BUY YesBitcoin above 82,000 on October 11, 9PM ET?99.9¢15$1595%46
BUY YesBitcoin above 81,800 on October 11, 9PM ET?99.9¢15$1595%46
BUY NoBitcoin above 84,400 on October 11, 9PM ET?99.9¢15$1595%46
BUY NoBitcoin above 84,600 on October 11, 9PM ET?99.9¢15$1595%46
BUY NoBitcoin above 84,800 on October 11, 9PM ET?99.9¢15$1595%46
BUY NoBitcoin above 85,000 on October 11, 9PM ET?99.9¢10$9.9995%46
BUY YesEthereum above 2,520 on October 11, 7PM ET?99.9¢15$1595%46
BUY YesEthereum above 2,510 on October 11, 7PM ET?99.9¢15$1595%46
BUY NoEthereum above 2,550 on October 11, 7PM ET?99.9¢15$1595%46
BUY YesBitcoin above 83,200 on October 11, 7PM ET?99.9¢15$1595%46
BUY YesBitcoin above 83,000 on October 11, 7PM ET?99.9¢15$1595%46
BUY NoBitcoin above 84,000 on October 11, 7PM ET?99.9¢15$1595%46
BUY NoBitcoin above 84,200 on October 11, 7PM ET?99.9¢15$1595%46
BUY NoBitcoin above 84,400 on October 11, 7PM ET?99.9¢15$1595%46
BUY YesEthereum above 2,490 on October 11, 6PM ET?99.9¢15$1595%46