PnL all-time+$2,003vol $130k
PnL 30d−$141gains $1,997 · losses $14
PnL 7d−$265win rate 7d 94.1%
Win rate85.2%adj 83.5% · 30d 97.0%
Open value$382cash n/a
Positions191 / 600open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 13h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
84/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale47
Adjusted win rateraw 85.2% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable93
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 19? · Noclosed+$545Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 22? · Noclosed+$534Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 7? · Yesclosed+$425Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 8? · Yesclosed+$405Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 6? · Yesclosed+$295
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 21? · Noopen−$500Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 2? · Noopen−$494Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 8? · Noopen−$456Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 22? · Noopen−$447Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on August 17? · Noopen−$435
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 16? | No | 142 | 82.7¢ | 100¢ | $142 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 16? | No | 139 | 94.5¢ | 100¢ | $139 | +$7.58 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 16? | No | 82 | 85.2¢ | 100¢ | $82 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 40 | 34.8¢ | 19.5¢ | $7.80 | −$6.10 | −$1.72 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 14 | 34.5¢ | 29.5¢ | $4.19 | −$0.71 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on October 17? | No | 5 | 74¢ | 75.5¢ | $3.77 | +$0.07 | $0 | |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 82 | 9.4¢ | 3.7¢ | $3.02 | −$4.68 | −$0.40 |
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