PnL all-time+$236vol $10.1k
PnL 30d+$40gains $334 · losses $432
PnL 7d+$19win rate 7d 53.3%
Win rate49.0%adj 49.2% · 30d 53.3%
Open value$1,504cash n/a
Positions9 / 109open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 3h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
57/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale34
Adjusted win rateraw 49.0% · shrunk toward 50%23
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable68
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? · Yesclosed+$127Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET · Downclosed+$97Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET · Downclosed+$94Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET · Upclosed+$89Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yesopen+$83
Worst markets
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET · Upopen−$207Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET · Upclosed−$169Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET · Upopen−$98Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET · Downclosed−$85Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET · Downclosed−$64
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 1,011 | 70.8¢ | 67.5¢ | $682 | −$34 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 460 | 64¢ | 72.5¢ | $333 | +$39 | $0 | |
| Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 474 | 42.2¢ | 59.6¢ | $283 | +$83 | $0 | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 425 | 45.4¢ | 34.6¢ | $147 | −$46 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? | Yes | 80 | 25¢ | 57¢ | $46 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | Yes | 1,028 | 1.8¢ | 1.3¢ | $13 | −$5.60 | $0 |
Recent trades
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