PnL all-time+$8,503vol $570k
PnL 30d+$303gains $0 · losses $55
PnL 7d−$333win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate97.4%adj 81.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$30.8kcash n/a
Positions4 / 42open / all-time
Max drawdown−36.6%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 37d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$8,839below peak −$1,652Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
48/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale56
Adjusted win rateraw 97.4% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable54
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity63
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 24.0k | 93.7¢ | 96.7¢ | $23.2k | +$718 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5,000 | 86¢ | 90.5¢ | $4,525 | +$225 | $0 | |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,000 | 89¢ | 96.7¢ | $2,900 | +$230 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 1,100 | 86.3¢ | 18.5¢ | $204 | −$746 | −$3,048 |
Recent trades
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