PnL all-time−$3,661vol $105k
PnL 30d−$1,470gains $3,219 · losses $4,854
PnL 7d−$152win rate 7d 85.1%
Win rate79.0%adj 77.9% · 30d 75.5%
Open value$75cash n/a
Positions2 / 651open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 19h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$3,097below peak −$3,328Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
44/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 79.0% · shrunk toward 50%95
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable94
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 5? · Yesclosed+$122Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on August 25? · Yesclosed+$119Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 11? · Noclosed+$86Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or higher on August 20? · Yesclosed+$70Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 1? · Noclosed+$70
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on September 10? · Yesclosed−$873Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 20? · Noclosed−$734Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on September 3? · Noclosed−$252Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 5? · Noclosed−$251Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 3? · Noclosed−$251
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 12? | No | 76 | 98.8¢ | 98.8¢ | $75 | +$0.02 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 11? | No | 93 | 81.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.05 | −$75 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s