PnL all-time+$187vol $87.5k
PnL 30d+$16gains $119 · losses $117
PnL 7d+$7.06win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate62.0%adj 59.6% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$887cash n/a
Positions5 / 85open / all-time
Max drawdown−30.6%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 24d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$294below peak −$56Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
47/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale32
Adjusted win rateraw 62.0% · shrunk toward 50%49
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable64
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d19
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity69
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? · Noclosed−$101Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Noclosed−$70MagicBlock FDV above $60M one day after launch? · Noclosed−$492026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Noclosed−$39Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Noclosed−$29
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 537 | 81.8¢ | 87.5¢ | $470 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 191 | 90.4¢ | 92.5¢ | $176 | +$3.98 | $0 | |
| Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 155 | 83¢ | 84.5¢ | $131 | +$2.33 | $0 | |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 135 | 73.1¢ | 76.5¢ | $103 | +$4.56 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat? | Yes | 15 | 43¢ | 45.5¢ | $6.86 | +$0.38 | +$15 |
Recent trades
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