| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 3,100 | 96.3¢ | 95.6¢ | $2,962 | −$22 | $0 | |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 3,000 | 97¢ | 97.2¢ | $2,914 | +$5.01 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 3,000 | 36¢ | 31.5¢ | $945 | −$135 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 428 | 79.5¢ | 96.6¢ | $413 | +$73 | +$12 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 850 | 64¢ | 46.4¢ | $394 | −$150 | $0 | |
| Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? | No | 400 | 88¢ | 89.5¢ | $358 | +$6.00 | $0 | |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 480 | 55¢ | 68.5¢ | $329 | +$65 | $0 | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 420 | 65¢ | 46.5¢ | $195 | −$78 | $0 | |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? | No | 188 | 92¢ | 98.2¢ | $184 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 250 | 61¢ | 59.5¢ | $149 | −$3.75 | $0 | |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 280 | 27¢ | 34.5¢ | $97 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | No | 1,261 | 23¢ | 7.5¢ | $95 | −$195 | $0 | |
| Will Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | No | 17 | 51¢ | 51¢ | $8.44 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | No | 150 | 60¢ | 3.9¢ | $5.78 | −$84 | $0 | |
| Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 492 | 65¢ | 0.5¢ | $2.71 | −$317 | $0 | |
| Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | 44¢ | 0.2¢ | $0.07 | −$22 | $0 | |
| Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10.0k | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.99 | −$0.30 | |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10.0k | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.99 | −$0.30 | |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3,000 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.00 | $0 | |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,500 | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,500 | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | Yes | 1,604 | 33.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$538 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | Up | 1,280 | 16.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$216 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" during Speech to the Nation? | Yes | 810 | 25.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$209 | −$0.58 | |
| Will Trump say "Armenia" or "Azerbaijan" 12+ times during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8? | No | 796 | 52.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$421 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during the State of the Union address? | Yes | 770 | 62.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$483 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $110k first? | 110k | 770 | 56.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$433 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Speech to the Nation? | Yes | 750 | 27.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$204 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Speech to the Nation? | Yes | 730 | 13.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$101 | $0 | |
| Will anyone say "Netflix" 30+ times during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call? | Yes | 680 | 17.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$119 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" during Speech to the Nation? | Yes | 640 | 23.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$151 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during conference with Putin on August 15? | Yes | 600 | 70.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$423 | $0 | |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 600 | 34.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$206 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | Up | 580 | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$28 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" during Tribute to America Rally? | Yes | 570 | 45.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$258 | $0 | |
| Will Drake's "Which One" debut at #1 in its first week? | Yes | 567 | 55.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$316 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | Up | 560 | 49¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$274 | $0 | |
| Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August? | Yes | 529 | 37.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$198 | $0 | |
| Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025? | Yes | 523 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.81 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk say "Crypto/Bitcoin/Doge" during the August 6 AMA? | Yes | 520 | 40.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$212 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Tribute to America Rally? | Yes | 520 | 3.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Frack" or "Fracking" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15? | Yes | 520 | 49.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$258 | $0 | |
| Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026? | No | 500 | 53.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$266 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Drill baby drill" during his AI speech on July 23? | No | 485 | 59.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$287 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during Tribute to America Rally? | Yes | 480 | 63.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$306 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15? | Yes | 451 | 62.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$284 | $0 | |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | Mexico | 435 | 46¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$200 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say Erdogan / Turkey during Netanyahu events on September 29? | No | 430 | 53.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$230 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | Up | 420 | 49¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$206 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Greatest" during UFC 250? | No | 418 | 23.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$97 | −$2.98 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August? | Yes | 400 | 35.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$141 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Ukraine" during Speech to the Nation? | Yes | 397 | 12.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Happy Birthday America" during Tribute to America Rally? | Yes | 396 | 33.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$134 | $0 | |
| Will Solana dip to $160 in August? | No | 370 | 4.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Annihilated" or "Annihilating" during Speech to the Nation? | Yes | 350 | 24.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$86 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Al-Qaeda" during 9-11 memorial event? | Yes | 340 | 32.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$110 | $0 | |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Oligarchy" 5+ times during his West Virginia speech on August 8? | Yes | 340 | 41.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$142 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Federalize" during the DC Crime Press Conference? | Yes | 340 | 58.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$198 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 10+ times during conference with Putin on August 15? | Yes | 340 | 41.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$141 | $0 | |
| Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files? | No | 330 | 46.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$153 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Big Balls" or "Coristine" during the DC Crime Press Conference? | Yes | 330 | 27¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$89 | $0 | |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 330 | 31¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$102 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | Up | 330 | 49¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$162 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin above $118K on August 20? | Yes | 320 | 50.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$163 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Booming" during Tribute to America Rally? | Yes | 313 | 34¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$106 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "India" or "Pakistan" during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8? | No | 310 | 18.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$56 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Hulk" or "Hulkster" this week? | Yes | 310 | 30.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$94 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Benjamin" or "Franklin" during Tribute to America Rally? | Yes | 300 | 66.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$200 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in February? | Yes | 300 | 24¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$72 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET | Up | 300 | 41¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$123 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin above $120,000 on August 4? | Yes | 290 | 30¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$87 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | Yes | 290 | 58.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$169 | $0 | |
| Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025? | Yes | 282 | 6.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025? | No | 281 | 11.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$33 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Powell" or "Too Late" during the State of the Union address? | Yes | 280 | 37¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$104 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say Palestine during Netanyahu events on September 29? | Yes | 280 | 34¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$95 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin above $118K on August 18? | Yes | 270 | 48¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$130 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29? | Yes | 270 | 57.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$156 | $0 | |
| Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025? | Yes | 267 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.88 | $0 | |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "ICE" during his West Virginia speech on August 8? | Yes | 260 | 56.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$146 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September? | Yes | 260 | 38¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$99 | $0 | |
| Will Solana dip to $195 in September? | No | 250 | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | No | 250 | 44¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$110 | $0 | |
| Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Monday? | Yes | 240 | 14¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$34 | $0 | |
| Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $17m? | No | 240 | 60.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$145 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8? | Yes | 235 | 52.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$123 | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance say "Trump" or "President" 20+ times during his remarks to US troops in UK on August 13? | Yes | 230 | 20.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$48 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "President Xi" during Hungary PM events on November 7? | Yes | 229 | 59.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$136 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Rare Earth" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15? | Yes | 228 | 25.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$59 | $0 | |
| Le Pen sentence reduced in 2025? | Yes | 220 | 8.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Hottest" during Speech to the Nation? | No | 220 | 45¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$99 | $0 | |
| Will USDT market cap hit $200B by December 31? | Yes | 210 | 19¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40 | +$53 | |
| Will Trump say "Bomb" or "Bomber" during Tribute to America Rally? | Yes | 200 | 55¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$110 | $0 | |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | Conor McGregor | 200 | 28¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$56 | $0 | |
| Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote? | Yes | 200 | 54¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$108 | −$1.99 | |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? | Yes | 200 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Golden Dome" during Tribute to America Rally? | Yes | 200 | 18¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$36 | $0 | |
| Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $85m? | Yes | 200 | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok? | No | 200 | 18¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$36 | $0 | |
| Will there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 190 | 8.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$16 | $0 | |