| Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election? | No | 10.1k | 75.4¢ | 96.2¢ | $9,717 | +$2,095 | +$176 | |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | No | 14.8k | 70.3¢ | 62.7¢ | $9,299 | −$1,112 | +$501 | |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? | No | 8,892 | 65.1¢ | 91.4¢ | $8,123 | +$2,331 | $0 | |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 41.0k | 19.5¢ | 19.4¢ | $7,934 | −$77 | +$374 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 18.0k | 37.8¢ | 43¢ | $7,736 | +$931 | +$0.12 | |
| Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung? | No | 8,260 | 48.3¢ | 93.5¢ | $7,723 | +$3,733 | +$185 | |
| Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Fire? | No | 4,566 | 84.1¢ | 91¢ | $4,155 | +$317 | +$579 | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 5,515 | 61.5¢ | 70.5¢ | $3,888 | +$495 | +$108 | |
| Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland? | Yes | 5,434 | 63.7¢ | 69¢ | $3,749 | +$290 | −$116 | |
| Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? | Yes | 4,068 | 47¢ | 90.9¢ | $3,695 | +$1,784 | −$1,992 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | Yes | 9,140 | 10.8¢ | 40.4¢ | $3,688 | +$2,704 | $0 | |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | Yes | 3,694 | 86.2¢ | 95.7¢ | $3,535 | +$353 | $0 | |
| Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? | Yes | 3,737 | 72.3¢ | 90.5¢ | $3,382 | +$679 | +$101 | |
| Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland? | Yes | 3,429 | 75¢ | 97.5¢ | $3,343 | +$770 | +$215 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 17.8k | 30.1¢ | 18¢ | $3,205 | −$2,150 | $0 | |
| Will Elber Requejo Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections? | Yes | 3,138 | 2.2¢ | 99.3¢ | $3,116 | +$3,046 | $0 | |
| Will Nkosindiphile Xhakaza be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni? | No | 3,246 | 65.6¢ | 95.6¢ | $3,103 | +$973 | +$405 | |
| Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 3,000 | 97.7¢ | 98.1¢ | $2,943 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | No | 2,915 | 49.7¢ | 99.9¢ | $2,911 | +$1,463 | +$2,710 | |
| Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | No | 2,907 | 8.2¢ | 99.8¢ | $2,901 | +$2,663 | +$9.16 | |
| Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | No | 2,993 | 26.9¢ | 94.8¢ | $2,836 | +$2,030 | +$1,032 | |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | No | 3,449 | 73¢ | 81.5¢ | $2,811 | +$295 | +$1.96 | |
| Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026? | Yes | 2,909 | 91.6¢ | 95.6¢ | $2,781 | +$115 | +$17 | |
| Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election? | Yes | 3,382 | 42.6¢ | 80.5¢ | $2,722 | +$1,283 | +$127 | |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 155k | 1.5¢ | 1.8¢ | $2,720 | +$331 | +$243 | |
| KOSPI all-time high before 2028? | No | 5,080 | 34.7¢ | 53.5¢ | $2,718 | +$953 | +$650 | |
| Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | No | 2,748 | 85.4¢ | 97.7¢ | $2,685 | +$339 | +$360 | |
| Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | Yes | 4,881 | 1.5¢ | 54.5¢ | $2,660 | +$2,585 | $0 | |
| Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 9,000 | 45¢ | 28.5¢ | $2,565 | −$1,485 | −$297 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 123k | 1.5¢ | 2¢ | $2,402 | +$549 | +$673 | |
| Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | Yes | 2,808 | 77.4¢ | 80.5¢ | $2,259 | +$87 | +$69 | |
| Will Princess Faku be the next mayor of Buffalo City? | Yes | 2,516 | 38.3¢ | 87.5¢ | $2,201 | +$1,238 | +$66 | |
| Will Shannon Weber win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election? | No | 2,702 | 68.5¢ | 79.1¢ | $2,138 | +$287 | −$286 | |
| Will David West win the 2026 Richmond Hill mayoral election? | Yes | 2,192 | 94.4¢ | 96.9¢ | $2,124 | +$54 | +$25 | |
| Will Aida Hadžialić be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm? | Yes | 2,167 | 85.8¢ | 95.2¢ | $2,062 | +$203 | +$22 | |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? | Yes | 7,541 | 28.6¢ | 27¢ | $2,036 | −$122 | +$117 | |
| Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? | Yes | 2,028 | 94.1¢ | 99.1¢ | $2,009 | +$101 | +$35 | |
| Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | Yes | 4,503 | 1.2¢ | 44.5¢ | $2,004 | +$1,949 | $0 | |
| Will Jimmy Ekström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County? | No | 1,991 | 97.8¢ | 98.1¢ | $1,953 | +$5.65 | −$419 | |
| Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election? | Yes | 2,283 | 55.2¢ | 84¢ | $1,918 | +$657 | +$110 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat? | Yes | 1,988 | 90.2¢ | 95.6¢ | $1,900 | +$108 | +$22 | |
| Mistral matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | No | 1,881 | 86.4¢ | 98.9¢ | $1,860 | +$235 | +$90 | |
| Will Andreu Mas-Colell win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? | No | 1,895 | 93.8¢ | 98¢ | $1,857 | +$80 | $0 | |
| Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award? | No | 6,475 | 33.4¢ | 28.5¢ | $1,845 | −$316 | +$274 | |
| Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award? | Yes | 4,145 | 19.1¢ | 44.4¢ | $1,838 | +$1,048 | +$80 | |
| Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | No | 1,952 | 0¢ | 94.1¢ | $1,837 | +$1,837 | $0 | |
| Will Mikael Andersson Elfgren be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västmanland? | Yes | 2,183 | 16¢ | 83¢ | $1,812 | +$1,461 | +$134 | |
| Will Cyril Xaba be the next mayor of eThekwini? | No | 1,869 | 80.9¢ | 96.8¢ | $1,808 | +$295 | +$203 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | No | 2,036 | 23.8¢ | 88¢ | $1,792 | +$1,307 | $0 | |
| Will Jonny Lundin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland? | No | 1,764 | 93.3¢ | 98.9¢ | $1,745 | +$99 | +$60 | |
| Will Angelica Katsanidou be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County? | Yes | 2,010 | 61.3¢ | 85.5¢ | $1,717 | +$486 | −$7.81 | |
| Will Partha Dasgupta win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? | No | 1,813 | 91.8¢ | 94.2¢ | $1,707 | +$44 | $0 | |
| Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? | Yes | 1,931 | 10.6¢ | 86.8¢ | $1,675 | +$1,470 | +$97 | |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 7,411 | 12.2¢ | 22.4¢ | $1,660 | +$758 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 100.0k | 2.5¢ | 1.7¢ | $1,650 | −$900 | +$953 | |
| Will Henrietta Modig Serrate be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg? | Yes | 1,714 | 68.1¢ | 95.4¢ | $1,635 | +$467 | $0 | |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 3,238 | 52.9¢ | 49.5¢ | $1,603 | −$110 | +$2,396 | |
| Will Nicklas Sandström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? | No | 1,601 | 90.2¢ | 98.5¢ | $1,577 | +$133 | +$72 | |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,317 | 71.3¢ | 68¢ | $1,575 | −$76 | $0 | |
| Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 3,420 | 29.4¢ | 44.5¢ | $1,522 | +$515 | +$53 | |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? | Yes | 2,422 | 24.1¢ | 62.8¢ | $1,521 | +$937 | +$627 | |
| Will Helena Proos be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala? | Yes | 1,572 | 81.4¢ | 96.6¢ | $1,518 | +$237 | $0 | |
| Will Coinbase be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? | No | 1,599 | 45.6¢ | 94.2¢ | $1,505 | +$775 | +$334 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 1,990 | 27.5¢ | 74.5¢ | $1,482 | +$935 | $0 | |
| Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election? | Yes | 2,836 | 60.5¢ | 51¢ | $1,446 | −$268 | +$22 | |
| Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 3,165 | 62.2¢ | 45.5¢ | $1,440 | −$529 | $0 | |
| Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | No | 1,699 | 59.2¢ | 81.8¢ | $1,389 | +$383 | +$293 | |
| Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? | Yes | 2,485 | 20.5¢ | 55.8¢ | $1,386 | +$875 | +$98 | |
| Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge? | Yes | 1,734 | 76.3¢ | 79.9¢ | $1,384 | +$61 | −$19 | |
| SSI public model released by October 31, 2026? | No | 1,533 | 28.6¢ | 90¢ | $1,380 | +$942 | $0 | |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 50.0k | 1.8¢ | 2.8¢ | $1,375 | +$451 | +$1,480 | |
| Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election? | Yes | 2,000 | 52¢ | 68.5¢ | $1,370 | +$330 | $0 | |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | No | 4,626 | 21¢ | 29.5¢ | $1,365 | +$393 | $0 | |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | Yes | 11.0k | 11.8¢ | 12¢ | $1,317 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 1,405 | 92¢ | 93.6¢ | $1,315 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Will Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera win the next Trujillo mayoral elections? | Yes | 1,317 | 2.3¢ | 99.4¢ | $1,309 | +$1,279 | $0 | |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 102k | 1¢ | 1.3¢ | $1,270 | +$245 | $0 | |
| Will Volker Kromm win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election? | No | 1,272 | 79.8¢ | 99.1¢ | $1,260 | +$245 | −$28 | |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%? | Yes | 2,615 | 19.5¢ | 47¢ | $1,229 | +$720 | $0 | |
| Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | No | 1,329 | 47.7¢ | 91.5¢ | $1,216 | +$583 | $0 | |
| Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | No | 1,455 | 55.6¢ | 83.5¢ | $1,215 | +$407 | $0 | |
| Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? | No | 1,486 | 78¢ | 81.5¢ | $1,211 | +$52 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,215 | 95.5¢ | 99.6¢ | $1,210 | +$50 | +$0.05 | |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? | No | 1,819 | 31¢ | 66.5¢ | $1,210 | +$646 | $0 | |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | No | 2,136 | 44.8¢ | 56.5¢ | $1,207 | +$249 | +$9.57 | |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | Yes | 1,308 | 2¢ | 91.3¢ | $1,193 | +$1,167 | +$555 | |
| Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 3,605 | 2.2¢ | 33¢ | $1,190 | +$1,111 | $0 | |
| Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? | No | 1,197 | 50.9¢ | 98.3¢ | $1,176 | +$566 | +$514 | |
| Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026? | No | 2,139 | 29.9¢ | 54¢ | $1,155 | +$515 | $0 | |
| Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027? | No | 1,788 | 53.9¢ | 64.5¢ | $1,153 | +$190 | +$25 | |
| Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 2,425 | 22¢ | 47¢ | $1,140 | +$606 | $0 | |
| Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | Yes | 1,184 | 80.6¢ | 95.5¢ | $1,131 | +$177 | +$83 | |
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 1,420 | 81.4¢ | 78.5¢ | $1,115 | −$41 | +$3.07 | |
| Will Meit Fohlin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gotland? | Yes | 1,168 | 84.4¢ | 95.4¢ | $1,114 | +$128 | $0 | |
| Will Linda Frohm be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten? | No | 1,132 | 94.6¢ | 98.2¢ | $1,112 | +$40 | +$52 | |
| Will Sara Gunnarsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? | No | 1,134 | 96.9¢ | 97¢ | $1,100 | +$0.62 | +$15 | |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 3,643 | 16.6¢ | 29.5¢ | $1,075 | +$469 | +$230 | |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1,119 | 50.9¢ | 95.6¢ | $1,069 | +$499 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | No | 7,433 | 30.2¢ | 14¢ | $1,041 | −$1,205 | $0 | |
| Will Alex Nuttall win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election? | Yes | 1,109 | 74.7¢ | 92¢ | $1,020 | +$192 | $0 | |