PnL all-time+$4.62vol $121k
PnL 30d+$746gains $4.62 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$398win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 52.4% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$118kcash n/a
Positions5 / 6open / all-time
Max drawdown−19.9%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 4mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$3,336below peak $0Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
17/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale9
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%31
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable26
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity80
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Nothing hereNo losing markets recorded — or not enough history.
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 41.6k | 98¢ | 98.7¢ | $41.0k | +$260 | $0 | |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 35.3k | 93.3¢ | 98.3¢ | $34.7k | +$1,750 | $0 | |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026? | No | 26.9k | 94.4¢ | 98.1¢ | $26.3k | +$978 | $0 | |
| New pandemic in 2026? | No | 16.2k | 92.9¢ | 95¢ | $15.4k | +$343 | $0 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 982 | 96.8¢ | 97¢ | $952 | +$2.26 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY No | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | 92¢ | 2,783 | $2,560 | 100% | 17 | |||
| BUY No | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | 93¢ | 230 | $214 | 100% | 17 | |||
| BUY No | New pandemic in 2026? | 87¢ | 200 | $174 | 100% | 17 | |||
| BUY No | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | 91.4¢ | 10.9k | $9,970 | 100% | 17 | |||
| BUY No | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | 91.4¢ | 10.9k | $9,958 | 100% | 17 |