PnL all-time+$36.3kvol $405k
PnL 30d+$35.8kgains $36.6k · losses $1,177
PnL 7d+$167win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate85.7%adj 70.8% · 30d 85.7%
Open value$253kcash n/a
Positions4 / 36open / all-time
Max drawdown−2.0%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 17d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$38.7kbelow peak −$1.89Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
54/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale65
Adjusted win rateraw 85.7% · shrunk toward 50%77
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable52
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d42
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity98
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Noopen+$71.4kRussia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · Yesclosed+$18.9kWill United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yesclosed+$8,672Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Noopen+$2,953Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yesclosed+$2,161
Worst markets
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$71.4kWill voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Noclosed−$586Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yesclosed−$447Will United Russia (ER) win 60% or more of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election? · Yesclosed−$137Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yesclosed−$7.12
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 170k | 50¢ | 92¢ | $156k | +$71.4k | $0 | |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 83.1k | 96.2¢ | 98.8¢ | $82.1k | +$2,120 | +$833 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 170k | 50¢ | 8.1¢ | $13.7k | −$71.4k | $0 | |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | 632 | 91¢ | 98.4¢ | $622 | +$47 | $0 |
Recent trades
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