Traders/Rank #2,416

clazzy1

0xb23…829a

PnL 10k+WR 60+SportPoliticsOtherCulture

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$17.0kvol $843k

PnL 30d+$5,919gains $21.2k · losses $17.9k

PnL 7d+$4,670win rate 7d 57.8%

Win rate61.7%adj 61.3% · 30d 58.5%

Open value$24.1kcash n/a

Positions68 / 692open / all-time

Max drawdown−50.2%of equity peak

Account age3molast trade 4h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$17.7kbelow peak −$1,262Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

64/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale60

Adjusted win rateraw 61.7% · shrunk toward 50%53

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable95

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity50

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? · Upclosed+$3,713 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? · Noclosed+$1,861 Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his rally in Oklahoma? · Noclosed+$1,583 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$1,369 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · Noclosed+$961

Worst markets

Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1? · Noclosed−$1,870 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$1,710 Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1? · Yesclosed−$1,326 Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? · Yesclosed−$1,064 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$1,058

Open positions · 68

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?	No	3,017	86¢	85.5¢	$2,579	−$15	$0	9mo
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	2,000	90.2¢	88.5¢	$1,770	−$34	+$64	7d 0h
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	2,000	79¢	78.5¢	$1,570	−$10	+$95	23d 0h
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	1,500	65.7¢	60.5¢	$908	−$77	$0	3mo
Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	1,331	51.5¢	63¢	$838	+$153	$0	19d 0h
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	1,137	53.9¢	73.5¢	$836	+$222	$0	23d 0h
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	1,000	68.3¢	73.5¢	$735	+$53	$0	3mo
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 31M tonnes at end of December 2026?	Yes	919	73.2¢	78.5¢	$721	+$49	$0	3mo
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of November 2026?	Yes	1,171	49.4¢	56.5¢	$661	+$83	$0	53d 0h
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?	No	772	79¢	81.5¢	$629	+$19	$0	3mo
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 10?	Yes	808	67.8¢	77¢	$622	+$75	$0	2d 0h
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	643	82¢	89.5¢	$575	+$48	+$0.01	23d 0h
Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?	No	547	74.8¢	98.8¢	$540	+$131	$0	7d 0h
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	994	38.4¢	53.5¢	$532	+$150	$0	4d 0h
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	576	88.4¢	87.5¢	$504	−$5.29	$0	3mo
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of December 2026?	Yes	735	54.4¢	66.5¢	$489	+$89	$0	3mo
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?	No	634	71.9¢	73.5¢	$466	+$10	$0	3mo
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	No	644	57.1¢	71.5¢	$460	+$93	+$193	4mo
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	No	500	94¢	92¢	$460	−$10	$0	23d 0h
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?	No	522	80.7¢	85.5¢	$446	+$25	$0	23d 0h
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 11?	Yes	500	79¢	80.5¢	$403	+$7.50	$0	3d 0h
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	500	73.2¢	75.5¢	$377	+$12	$0	3mo
Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	488	30.4¢	74¢	$361	+$213	$0	9m
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	595	62¢	57.5¢	$342	−$27	+$13	22d 0h
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	No	375	76.1¢	91¢	$341	+$56	+$33	23d 0h
Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?	No	405	74.4¢	84.2¢	$341	+$39	+$183	3mo
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9?	Yes	600	47¢	56.5¢	$339	+$57	$0	1d 0h
Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?	No	385	69.5¢	85.5¢	$329	+$61	$0	3mo
Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)	METANOIA WOLVES	1,310	39.6¢	24.5¢	$321	−$198	$0	ended
Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	No	353	82¢	89.5¢	$316	+$26	$0	4d 0h
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	585	40.5¢	43.5¢	$254	+$18	+$5.00	3mo
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	400	61¢	63.5¢	$254	+$10	$0	26d 0h
Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	282	53.4¢	88.5¢	$250	+$99	+$350	3mo
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?	No	279	83.6¢	79.5¢	$222	−$11	$0	6d 0h
Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	233	72.8¢	92.5¢	$216	+$46	+$1.30	3mo
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	1,171	33.9¢	18¢	$211	−$187	$0	4d 0h
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	500	52¢	41¢	$205	−$55	$0	3mo
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	235	67¢	83.5¢	$196	+$39	$0	23d 0h
Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	213	70.8¢	90.5¢	$193	+$42	$0	3mo
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of November 2026?	Yes	258	64.5¢	74¢	$191	+$25	$0	53d 0h
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	250	56.7¢	71.3¢	$178	+$36	+$23	3mo
Amazon 2026 capex above $210B?	Yes	199	82.3¢	80¢	$159	−$4.59	$0	7mo
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	No	227	74.2¢	68.5¢	$155	−$13	$0	7d 0h
Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October?	No	170	54.4¢	88.5¢	$150	+$58	$0	22d 0h
Will Los have the most in-game deaths during the Minecraft marathon?	Yes	150	94¢	97.2¢	$146	+$4.74	$0	53d 0h
Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026?	No	176	60.4¢	76.5¢	$135	+$28	+$41	3mo
Christie's vs Sotheby's: higher 2026 sales total?	Sotheby's	170	45.9¢	78¢	$133	+$55	$0	6mo
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Yes	400	66.9¢	30.5¢	$122	−$145	$0	15mo
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 30, 2026?	No	140	80¢	85.9¢	$120	+$8.20	$0	ended
Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 25M in October?	No	126	75¢	88.5¢	$111	+$17	$0	22d 0h
Will Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan be arrested in 2026?	No	131	86.4¢	79.8¢	$105	−$8.68	$0	3mo
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $27B by October 31?	No	150	71.2¢	62¢	$93	−$14	+$12	23d 0h
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?	Yes	101	81¢	75¢	$76	−$6.05	$0	3mo
Will Juan Pablo Ledezma be arrested in 2026?	No	68	65.3¢	89.5¢	$60	+$16	+$10	3mo
Will Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez be arrested in 2026?	No	57	79¢	88¢	$50	+$5.13	+$21	3mo
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $30.5B by October 31?	Yes	70	72¢	63¢	$44	−$6.30	$0	23d 0h
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to an elder guardian?	No	50	94¢	87.5¢	$44	−$3.25	$0	53d 0h
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	Yes	174	38.8¢	23.5¢	$41	−$27	+$32	9m
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to an ender dragon?	No	71	45¢	56.5¢	$40	+$8.13	$0	53d 0h
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	44	92.3¢	92¢	$40	−$0.15	$0	1d 0h
Will Michael Woodford win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	No	34	82¢	88.5¢	$30	+$2.23	+$13	4d 0h
Will the announcers say "Knockout" or "Knock Out" or "Knocked Out" during Tsarukyan vs Ruffy?	No	50	24¢	48.5¢	$24	+$12	$0	ended
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	25	84.6¢	84¢	$21	−$0.16	$0	1d 0h
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	60	40¢	23.5¢	$14	−$9.90	$0	ended
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 28, 2026?	No	91	47.5¢	14¢	$13	−$31	$0	ended
Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	Yes	20	28¢	40.5¢	$8.10	+$2.50	$0	2d 0h
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?	No	6	58¢	49¢	$2.94	−$0.54	$0	3mo
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 29, 2026?	No	7	37¢	13.5¢	$0.97	−$1.69	$0	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
4h ago	BUY METANOIA WOLVES	Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)	28¢	289	$81	62%	64
4h ago	SELL No	Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	94¢	54	$51	62%	64
4h ago	SELL Yes	Will the IEA ask Germany to release oil stocks by December 31?	27.8¢	74	$21	62%	64
4h ago	SELL No	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 27M in October?	99.2¢	179	$177	62%	64
4h ago	BUY No	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?	81.9¢	164	$134	62%	64
4h ago	SELL No	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	99.9¢	505	$504	62%	64
17h ago	BUY No	Will PepsiCo (PEP) beat quarterly earnings?	17¢	1,043	$177	62%	64
18h ago	SELL No	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	91¢	500	$455	62%	64
18h ago	BUY No	Will PepsiCo (PEP) beat quarterly earnings?	16.9¢	522	$88	62%	64
18h ago	BUY Yes	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	38.8¢	162	$63	62%	64
23h ago	BUY Over	Games Total: O/U 2.5	40¢	60	$24	62%	64
23h ago	BUY METANOIA WOLVES	Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)	42.9¢	1,021	$438	62%	64
23h ago	SELL No	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	79¢	1,250	$988	62%	64
23h ago	BUY No	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 7?	98.8¢	109	$108	62%	64
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will the IEA ask Germany to release oil stocks by December 31?	27.8¢	102	$28	62%	64
1d ago	BUY No	Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?	79¢	772	$610	62%	64
1d ago	BUY No	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	90¢	2,000	$1,800	62%	64
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?	81¢	101	$82	62%	64
1d ago	BUY No	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	96.1¢	30	$29	62%	64
1d ago	SELL No	Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $27B by October 31?	85¢	100	$85	62%	64