PnL all-time+$187vol $62.3k
PnL 30d−$167gains $13 · losses $2,568
PnL 7d−$9.45win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate75.0%adj 69.0% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$333cash n/a
Positions2 / 67open / all-time
Max drawdown−93.6%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 1h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$214below peak −$2,559Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
44/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale32
Adjusted win rateraw 75.0% · shrunk toward 50%73
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable61
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity6
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31? · Noclosed+$863Israel closes its airspace by June 8? · Noclosed+$700Israel closes its airspace by July 24? · Noclosed+$229Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? · Yesclosed+$225Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? · Noclosed+$171
Worst markets
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · Noclosed−$2,568Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026? · Yesclosed−$457Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026? · Noclosed−$99Israel closes its airspace by June 15? · Noclosed−$74Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 28, 2026? · Yesclosed−$68
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 307 | 87.1¢ | 91.5¢ | $281 | +$13 | +$5.00 | |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | No | 70 | 75¢ | 75.5¢ | $53 | +$0.35 | $0 |
Recent trades
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