PnL all-time+$581vol $488k
PnL 30d+$2,912gains $7,380 · losses $5,322
PnL 7d+$583win rate 7d 76.9%
Win rate52.0%adj 51.6% · 30d 53.3%
Open value$8,204cash n/a
Positions10 / 90open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 22h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$660below peak −$484Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
39/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale39
Adjusted win rateraw 52.0% · shrunk toward 50%29
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable65
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? · Noclosed+$1,445US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$1,098Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$1,077Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Noclosed+$931Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Noclosed+$874
Worst markets
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yesclosed−$1,289Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$1,021Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$918Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026? · Noclosed−$840US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$812
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 3,000 | 65¢ | 64.5¢ | $1,935 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | No | 2,000 | 82¢ | 93.5¢ | $1,870 | +$230 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,430 | 47.8¢ | 47.1¢ | $1,616 | −$25 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 12.8k | 9.7¢ | 7¢ | $897 | −$344 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,570 | 26¢ | 22.5¢ | $578 | −$90 | $0 | |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 3,699 | 15.2¢ | 15.1¢ | $557 | −$3.72 | +$12 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | No | 537 | 60¢ | 60.5¢ | $325 | +$2.68 | $0 | |
| Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 294 | 74.3¢ | 97¢ | $285 | +$67 | $0 | |
| Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 165 | 69.6¢ | 71.5¢ | $118 | +$3.06 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,029 | 2.4¢ | 2.4¢ | $24 | −$0.51 | $0 |
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