sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,208

NiceDuckBro

0xb26…0eb0
WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$7,199vol $1.72M
PnL 30d+$3,661gains $8,178 · losses $1,894
PnL 7d−$107win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate67.5%adj 66.8% · 30d 89.3%
Open value$9,293cash n/a
Positions15 / 609open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$4,749below peak −$17.1kOct 13

SharpScore inputs

53/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale55
Adjusted win rateraw 67.5% · shrunk toward 50%67
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable93
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d94
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 15

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?No3,12563.2¢82.5¢$2,578+$603+$221
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?Yes3,27669.7¢60.5¢$1,982−$302$0
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Yes8,36247.3¢15.5¢$1,296−$2,658+$5.15
Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by December 31, 2026?No1,82260.7¢67¢$1,221+$116$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes2,00279.8¢44.3¢$886−$712$0
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?Yes49575.8¢79.5¢$393+$18$0
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Yes1,44747.1¢25.5¢$369−$312$0
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes86230.8¢34.5¢$297+$32$0
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Yes1,12530.8¢9¢$101−$246$0
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? Yes18832¢35.6¢$67+$6.67$0
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Yes18262¢30.5¢$56−$57$0
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?No1672¢94¢$15+$3.55+$11
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Yes10031¢15¢$15−$16$0
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?No1168¢90.5¢$9.52+$2.37+$10
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?No1041.3¢68¢$6.98+$2.74+$166

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesRussia lifts diesel export ban by October 15?88¢10$8.8068%53
BUY YesRussia lifts diesel export ban by October 15?79¢10$7.9068%53
BUY NoWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?68.6¢1,281$87968%53
BUY NoWill Ukraine re-enter Terny by December 31, 2026?61.3¢1,016$62268%53
BUY NoWill Ukraine re-enter Terny by December 31, 2026?61.1¢213$13168%53
BUY NoWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?67¢165$11168%53
BUY YesWill Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?69.7¢3,276$2,28468%53
BUY YesWill Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?29¢762$22168%53
SELL NoWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?83.5¢4,000$3,33968%53
BUY YesWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?75.8¢495$37568%53
BUY YesWill Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?99.7¢1,079$1,07668%53
BUY YesWill Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?92.9¢933$86668%53
BUY YesWill Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?44¢100$4468%53
BUY NoWill Ukraine re-enter Terny by December 31, 2026?64.3¢300$19368%53
BUY NoWill Ukraine re-enter Terny by December 31, 2026?54.4¢293$16068%53
SELL YesWill Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?2.7¢1,599$4368%53
BUY YesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?96.5¢1,184$1,14368%53
BUY YesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?96¢2,070$1,98768%53
BUY YesWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?97¢3,014$2,92268%53
BUY YesWill Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?97.6¢2,521$2,46168%53