PnL all-time−$3,872vol $82.7k
PnL 30d+$2,232gains $2.33 · losses $35
PnL 7d+$2,232win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate56.4%adj 54.2% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$5,801cash n/a
Positions10 / 50open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 15h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$1,893below peak −$1,922Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
23/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 56.4% · shrunk toward 50%36
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable57
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? · Yesopen+$939Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026? · Yesopen+$687Gemini 3.5 released by May 31? · Yesclosed+$647Will Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get between 60m and 70m views in first 24 hours? · Yesclosed+$307Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? · Yesopen+$165
Worst markets
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope? · Yesclosed−$2,104Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15? · Yesclosed−$833Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31? · Yesopen−$564Will Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get between 60m and 70m views in first 24 hours? · Noclosed−$524Will Stephen Curry Return This Series? · Yesclosed−$258
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | Yes | 3,667 | 58.9¢ | 84.5¢ | $3,098 | +$939 | $0 | |
| Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026? | Yes | 1,334 | 37.1¢ | 88.6¢ | $1,182 | +$687 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | Yes | 513 | 56.9¢ | 89¢ | $457 | +$165 | $0 | |
| Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026? | Yes | 439 | 66¢ | 91¢ | $399 | +$109 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 388 | 72¢ | 93¢ | $361 | +$82 | +$6.20 | |
| Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? | Yes | 281 | 68¢ | 94.5¢ | $266 | +$75 | $0 | |
| Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 66 | 55¢ | 58¢ | $38 | +$1.99 | $0 | |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31? | Yes | 1,823 | 31¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$564 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | Down | 603 | 38.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$232 | $0 | |
| Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 53 | 3.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.00 | $0 |
Recent trades
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