PnL all-time−$309vol $9,951
PnL 30d−$163gains $479 · losses $765
PnL 7d−$203win rate 7d 80.0%
Win rate81.8%adj 69.8% · 30d 81.8%
Open value$529cash n/a
Positions5 / 38open / all-time
Max drawdown−45.2%of equity peak
Account age20dlast trade 4h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$164below peak −$282Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 81.8% · shrunk toward 50%75
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable53
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity55
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Noclosed+$63Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Noclosed+$56Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Noclosed+$35Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Noclosed+$33Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · Noclosed+$25
Worst markets
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Noclosed−$338Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Noclosed−$247Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Noclosed−$90Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? · Noclosed−$79Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? · Yesopen−$18
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 335 | 89.5¢ | 89.3¢ | $299 | −$0.84 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 111 | 90¢ | 97.9¢ | $109 | +$8.71 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | No | 105 | 95¢ | 94.5¢ | $99 | −$0.53 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | No | 21 | 90¢ | 99.9¢ | $21 | +$2.10 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | Yes | 230 | 8¢ | 0.2¢ | $0.34 | −$18 | $0 |
Recent trades
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