PnL all-time+$266kvol $2.97M
PnL 30d−$16gains $60 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$33win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate81.1%adj 70.2% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$1,508cash n/a
Positions2 / 39open / all-time
Max drawdown−11.7%of equity peak
Account age1.7ylast trade 14d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$266kbelow peak −$50Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
56/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale77
Adjusted win rateraw 81.1% · shrunk toward 50%76
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable53
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d51
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity88
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? · Noclosed+$88.4kWill Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway? · Noclosed+$88.2kWill Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff? · Noclosed+$59.6kWill Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election? · Yesclosed+$7,151Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority? · Noclosed+$5,091
Worst markets
Will Samuel Doria Medina qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff? · Yesclosed−$144Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway? · Yesclosed−$119Will the Liberals win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election? · Yesclosed−$52Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Noopen−$25Will NATO expand in 2022? · Yesclosed−$2.10
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 1,666 | 92¢ | 90.5¢ | $1,508 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Yes | 143 | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 |
Recent trades
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