PnL all-time+$525vol $7,980
PnL 30d+$9.30gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$3.60win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate60.0%adj 52.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,480cash n/a
Positions4 / 9open / all-time
Max drawdown−14.7%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 3mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$538below peak −$6.45Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
23/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale39
Adjusted win rateraw 60.0% · shrunk toward 50%30
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable32
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity85
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? · Yesopen+$200Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Noopen+$158Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? · Noclosed+$153Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Noclosed+$63Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election? · Yesopen+$20
Worst markets
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 500 | 60¢ | 100¢ | $500 | +$200 | $0 | |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 400 | 60.4¢ | 100¢ | $400 | +$158 | $0 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election? | Yes | 290 | 93¢ | 100¢ | $290 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 300 | 92.4¢ | 96.7¢ | $290 | +$13 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SELL No | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | 48.8¢ | 376 | $184 | 60% | 23 | |||
| BUY No | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | 45.1¢ | 1,700 | $767 | 60% | 23 | |||
| BUY No | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 94.3¢ | 350 | $330 | 60% | 23 | |||
| BUY No | Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | 77¢ | 600 | $462 | 60% | 23 | |||
| BUY No | Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | 70¢ | 141 | $98 | 60% | 23 |