sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,497

rando12345

0xb40…df2a
PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+PoliticsOtherCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$13.5kvol $1.92M
PnL 30d+$640gains $2,036 · losses $279
PnL 7d+$416win rate 7d 25.0%
Win rate61.4%adj 61.0% · 30d 56.7%
Open value$62.4kcash n/a
Positions49 / 549open / all-time
Max drawdown−47.2%of equity peak
Account age1.2ylast trade 8m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$14.2kbelow peak −$9,456Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

63/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale59
Adjusted win rateraw 61.4% · shrunk toward 50%53
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable91
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity53

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 48

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No40.0k50¢82.1¢$32.8k+$12.8k$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes40.0k50¢18¢$7,180−$12.8k$0
Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026?No5,73598¢97.8¢$5,608−$11$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No4,23364.1¢74.5¢$3,154+$441$0
USDE depeg by December 31?No1,56585.4¢97.1¢$1,518+$183+$16
Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?No1,13793.3¢88.8¢$1,009−$52$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes1,00085¢94.5¢$945+$95$0
DAI depeg by December 31?No90874.1¢95.1¢$863+$190−$103
Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?No69891.7¢95.1¢$663+$23$0
Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?No81189.3¢74.5¢$604−$120−$16
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes1,10275¢46¢$507−$320$0
USDS depeg by December 31?No50681.4¢96¢$486+$74−$49
Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?No80180.7¢51.5¢$413−$234$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No43374.7¢92¢$398+$75+$572
USDTb depeg by December 31?No41187.4¢93.8¢$385+$26$0
GHO depeg by December 31?No39569.7¢97¢$383+$108$0
Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?No40093.5¢92.2¢$368−$5.20$0
PYUSD depeg by December 31?No38893¢93¢$360−$0.13$0
Will Ethena reach $0.80 by December 31, 2026?No37095.9¢96.5¢$357+$2.05$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by October 31, 2026?No35594.1¢98.2¢$348+$15$0
Will Ethena reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026?No37383.5¢81.5¢$304−$7.38$0
Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?Yes39068.4¢77¢$300+$33$0
Will Ethena reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026?No42984.7¢66.5¢$285−$78−$2.55
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in September?Yes61028.6¢43¢$262+$88+$8.79
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in September?Yes61146.1¢42.5¢$260−$22$0
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50 and $2.60 in September?No23592¢96.3¢$226+$10$0
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00 and $2.10 in September?No21287.6¢93¢$197+$11+$1.74
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.60 and $2.70 in September?No17889.5¢93.4¢$166+$6.87−$1.47
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes51551.5¢26.5¢$137−$129$0
Will a dozen eggs cost ≥$2.70 in September?No11093.6¢93.5¢$103−$0.15$0
Will the Republican Party win the GA-01 House seat?Yes11485.2¢89.5¢$102+$4.88$0
Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by December 31, 2026?Yes30036¢33.5¢$101−$7.50$0
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes20050.7¢48¢$96−$5.32$0
Will Ethena reach $0.70 by December 31, 2026?No10194.6¢94.4¢$95−$0.19$0
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30 and $2.40 in September?No7976.8¢91.5¢$72+$12+$6.58
Will Ethena dip to $0.12 by December 31, 2026?Yes17778.4¢40¢$71−$68$0
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.40 and $2.50 in September?No6092.9¢95.8¢$57+$1.70$0
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes10038¢47¢$47+$9.00$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026?No3774¢96.1¢$36+$8.19$0
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No3584.6¢97.5¢$34+$4.48$0
MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch?Yes9280¢29¢$27−$47+$0.40
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?Yes10034¢24.5¢$24−$9.50$0
Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026?Yes10012¢14.5¢$15+$2.50$0
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-01 House seat?Yes11011¢10.5¢$12−$0.55$0
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Yes9749¢10.5¢$10−$37−$0.09
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?Yes706.4¢11¢$7.70+$3.20$0
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No791¢95.8¢$6.94+$0.35$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?Yes235.8¢2.5¢$0.05−$0.73+$22

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?77.8¢309$24161%63
BUY NoWill Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?54.7¢342$18761%63
BUY NoPlague case in US by December 31?87.8¢120$10661%63
BUY NoWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?74¢928$68761%63
BUY YesWill Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?69.8¢1,445$1,00861%63
BUY YesWill gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?68.4¢390$26761%63
BUY NoWill Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by October 31, 2026?96¢185$17761%63
BUY YesWill a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in September?40¢60$2461%63
BUY YesWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?34¢100$3461%63
BUY YesWill Ukraine re-enter Terny by December 31, 2026?36¢300$10861%63
BUY NoWill Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by October 31, 2026?91.9¢170$15661%63
BUY NoWill Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?91.2¢100$9161%63
SELL YesWill Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?38¢931$35461%63
SELL YesWill Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?39¢205$8061%63
SELL YesWill Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?34¢422$14361%63
SELL YesWill Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?35¢189$6661%63
SELL YesWill Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?35¢189$6661%63
SELL YesWill Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?35¢180$6361%63
SELL YesWill Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?35¢558$19561%63
BUY YesGemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?3.8¢559$2161%63