PnL all-time+$98vol $67.5k
PnL 30d−$94gains $4,299 · losses $7,783
PnL 7d−$2.45win rate 7d 33.3%
Win rate81.0%adj 71.0% · 30d 36.4%
Open value$312cash n/a
Positions32 / 74open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 4d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$97below peak −$967Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
37/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale28
Adjusted win rateraw 81.0% · shrunk toward 50%78
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable62
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d86
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yesopen+$3,085Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yesclosed+$2,092Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$1,286Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesopen+$1,005Nuggets vs. 76ers · Nuggetsclosed+$820
Worst markets
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$3,127Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Noclosed−$2,116Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Noopen−$1,306Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Noclosed−$1,008Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Noclosed−$808
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 172 | 86.8¢ | 86.9¢ | $149 | +$0.09 | −$1,306 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 689 | 10.7¢ | 10.5¢ | $72 | −$1.49 | +$490 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 451 | 14¢ | 14¢ | $63 | $0 | +$3,085 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 154 | 14.7¢ | 14.7¢ | $23 | −$0.08 | +$114 | |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 200 | 2.3¢ | 2.4¢ | $4.71 | +$0.10 | +$1,005 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY No | Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 97.7¢ | 109 | $106 | 81% | 37 | |||
| BUY No | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 94¢ | 14 | $13 | 81% | 37 | |||
| SELL Heat | Heat vs. Bulls | 67¢ | 486 | $325 | 81% | 37 | |||
| BUY 76ers | 76ers vs. Raptors | 62¢ | 226 | $140 | 81% | 37 | |||
| BUY Knicks | Knicks vs. Trail Blazers | 64¢ | 250 | $160 | 81% | 37 | |||
| BUY Grizzlies | Nets vs. Grizzlies | 71¢ | 254 | $180 | 81% | 37 | |||
| BUY Pelicans | Pelicans vs. Magic | 31¢ | 516 | $160 | 81% | 37 | |||
| BUY Celtics | Spurs vs. Celtics | 50¢ | 280 | $140 | 81% | 37 | |||
| BUY Pacers | Heat vs. Pacers | 28¢ | 643 | $180 | 81% | 37 | |||
| BUY Timberwolves | Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers | 40¢ | 450 | $180 | 81% | 37 | |||
| BUY Mavericks | Mavericks vs. Jazz | 69¢ | 493 | $340 | 81% | 37 | |||
| BUY Heat | Heat vs. Bulls | 70¢ | 486 | $340 | 81% | 37 | |||
| BUY Timberwolves | Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves | 58¢ | 517 | $300 | 81% | 37 | |||
| BUY Kings | Mavericks vs. Kings | 36¢ | 778 | $280 | 81% | 37 | |||
| BUY Lakers | Lakers vs. Pelicans | 69¢ | 406 | $280 | 81% | 37 | |||
| BUY Magic | Magic vs. Wizards | 73¢ | 438 | $320 | 81% | 37 | |||
| BUY Pacers | Cavaliers vs. Pacers | 35¢ | 857 | $300 | 81% | 37 | |||
| BUY Nuggets | Nuggets vs. 76ers | 18¢ | 1,000 | $180 | 81% | 37 | |||
| BUY Rockets | Suns vs. Rockets | 74¢ | 270 | $200 | 81% | 37 | |||
| BUY Thunder | Hornets vs. Thunder | 90¢ | 222 | $200 | 81% | 37 |