sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,157

armagedonn

0xb4b…2309@Michele13_13
1y+CryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,603vol $153k
PnL 30d+$596gains $1,184 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$9.77win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate43.2%adj 44.2% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$562cash n/a
Positions17 / 138open / all-time
Max drawdown−31.0%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 3d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,772below peak −$99Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

52/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale49
Adjusted win rateraw 43.2% · shrunk toward 50%11
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable71
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d88
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity69

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$845Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yesclosed+$559Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yesclosed+$490Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? · Yesclosed+$442Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$275

Worst markets

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? · Yesclosed−$236Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March? · Yesclosed−$147Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$101Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March? · Yesclosed−$100Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April? · Noopen−$91

Open positions · 17

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?No50021¢48.5¢$243+$138$0
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes5,2546.4¢4.5¢$236−$101$0
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes40711¢20.5¢$84+$39$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?Yes6507.7¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 2?Yes6053.5¢0¢$0−$21−$1.43
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?No30029¢0¢$0−$87−$4.45
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?Yes25024.8¢0¢$0−$62−$1.86
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?Yes2005¢0¢$0−$10−$9.67
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 11?Yes2007.9¢0¢$0−$16$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on June 15?Yes20014¢0¢$0−$28−$0.40
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 7?Yes1653.2¢0¢$0−$5.28−$0.36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 2?Yes16022¢0¢$0−$35−$1.92
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 6?Yes15612.8¢0¢$0−$20−$1.22
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of June 22 2026?Yes15226.3¢0¢$0−$40+$12
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 29?Yes10038¢0¢$0−$38−$1.70
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 7?Yes10019.9¢0¢$0−$20−$1.12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 9?No9533.6¢0¢$0−$32$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?5¢2,154$10843%52
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?21¢468$9843%52
BUY YesWill Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?7¢1,100$7743%52
BUY YesWill Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?9¢1,100$9943%52
SELL NoWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?78.3¢400$31343%52
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?59.5¢400$23843%52
SELL YesWill Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?83.5¢529$44243%52
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 2?22¢160$3543%52
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 2?3.5¢603$2143%52
BUY YesWill Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026?38¢150$5743%52
BUY YesWill Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?6¢900$5443%52
BUY YesWill Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?11¢407$4543%52
BUY YesWill Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026?36¢80$2943%52
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?23¢600$13843%52
BUY YesWill Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?29¢529$15343%52
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 7?19.9¢100$2043%52
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 7?3.2¢165$5.2843%52
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 6?12.9¢110$1443%52
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 6?12.5¢46$5.7543%52
SELL YesWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?2.5¢300$7.5043%52