sharpside
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Traders/Rank #15,817

0xb4d…4c60

0xb4d…4c60
1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$16.9kvol $430k
PnL 30d−$1,574gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$62win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate57.8%adj 55.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$7,363cash n/a
Positions47 / 94open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 52m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$18.6kbelow peak −$19.8kOct 13

SharpScore inputs

24/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 57.8% · shrunk toward 50%39
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable66
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$5,653Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? · Yesclosed+$1,265Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? · Yesclosed+$1,130Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? · Noclosed+$1,038Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$292

Worst markets

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yesclosed−$7,883Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yesopen−$5,563Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yesopen−$3,433Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? · Yesopen−$1,999Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? · Noopen−$1,496

Open positions · 47

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No7,11370.4¢58.2¢$4,136−$874$0
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes3,23947.8¢54.5¢$1,765+$218+$25
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No2,16739.9¢12.6¢$272−$593+$9.93
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No29079¢84¢$243+$14$0
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No1,82214.7¢11¢$200−$67$0
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No27548¢54.5¢$150+$18+$20
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No1,81213.2¢8¢$145−$94−$3.82
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes2,04010.6¢6.8¢$138−$79+$0.13
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No29833.4¢36.5¢$109+$9.38$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes1,20428.5¢5.9¢$72−$272−$8.01
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes10056¢54.5¢$55−$1.50$0
Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?No8824¢27.5¢$24+$3.08$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes41030¢5.5¢$23−$100+$7.10
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes13834.1¢16¢$22−$25$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes1007¢9.5¢$9.50+$2.50$0
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes22.0k15.6¢0¢$0−$3,433$0
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes14.0k40.4¢0¢$0−$5,669+$107
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes14.0k5.4¢0¢$0−$751$0
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?No13.2k11.1¢0¢$0−$1,466−$30
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes9,85020.6¢0¢$0−$2,033+$34
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No8,14016.4¢0¢$0−$1,331$0
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?Yes4,9343.1¢0¢$0−$154−$5.20
Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes3,9843.6¢0¢$0−$144−$5.20
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes2,55317¢0¢$0−$435−$57
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?No2,4595.4¢0¢$0−$133−$4.81
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes2,4007.4¢0¢$0−$178+$135
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes2,27341.6¢0¢$0−$947−$319
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?Yes2,20011.7¢0¢$0−$258+$29
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes2,1002.6¢0¢$0−$54+$34
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes1,83017.3¢0¢$0−$317+$90
French election called by December 31?Yes1,56026.8¢0¢$0−$418+$108
Will Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?Yes1,1120.2¢0¢$0−$2.22−$0.09
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1,0500.2¢0¢$0−$2.10−$0.08
Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Yes83111.2¢0¢$0−$93−$3.14
Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Yes8303.5¢0¢$0−$29−$1.10
Will PI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?Yes79710.4¢0¢$0−$83−$2.81
Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?Yes77820.6¢0¢$0−$161+$0.64
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by December 31?No72022.1¢0¢$0−$159$0
Will Andrés Ariel Robles Barrantes win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?Yes4136.8¢0¢$0−$28+$6.00
Will APNU win the most seats in the 2025 Guyana National Assembly election?Yes3586.1¢0¢$0−$22$0
Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?No34029.9¢0¢$0−$102−$12
Will Semir Efendić be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Yes2430.9¢0¢$0−$2.21−$0.09
Will Bakir Izetbegović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Yes16233.6¢0¢$0−$54−$1.43
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes15522.7¢0¢$0−$35−$1.36
Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections?No14823.3¢0¢$0−$34−$1.05
US forces enter Iran by December 31?No14426.2¢0¢$0−$38+$2.72
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes8638.6¢0¢$0−$33−$1.02

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?54.3¢550$29958%24
BUY NoWill Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?48¢275$13258%24
BUY NoWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?57¢591$33758%24
SELL NoWill Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?54¢391$21158%24
BUY NoWill Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?47¢150$7158%24
BUY YesWill Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?45¢365$16458%24
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?33¢263$8758%24
SELL NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?16.7¢35$5.8558%24
BUY YesWill Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?46.8¢137$6458%24
BUY NoWill Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?47¢241$11358%24
BUY YesWill Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?47¢100$4758%24
BUY YesWill Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?47¢120$5658%24
SELL NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?44.7¢600$26858%24
BUY YesWill Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?44¢114$5058%24
BUY YesWill Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?42.8¢635$27258%24
BUY YesWill Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?40.6¢267$10858%24
BUY YesWill Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?50¢10$5.0058%24
BUY YesWill Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?50¢11$5.5558%24
BUY YesWill Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?50¢10$5.0058%24
BUY YesWill Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?50¢13$6.6558%24