PnL all-time+$1,379vol $118k
PnL 30d−$2,022gains $789 · losses $0.09
PnL 7d−$2,924win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate98.8%adj 93.3% · 30d 98.3%
Open value$1,788cash n/a
Positions6 / 167open / all-time
Max drawdown−24.3%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 22m ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$1,727below peak −$134Oct 11
SharpScore inputs
75/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale45
Adjusted win rateraw 98.8% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable74
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity76
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August? · Yesclosed+$507Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? · Yesclosed+$322Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? · Yesclosed+$293Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$224Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$46
Worst markets
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 13, 2026? · Noopen−$370Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York? · Noopen−$27Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August? · Noclosed−$4.55Falcons vs. Packers · Packersopen−$3.50Will it rain in Miami, FL on August 27? · Noopen−$0.53
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 14? | No | 1,476 | 98.7¢ | 99.1¢ | $1,462 | +$5.79 | $0 | |
| Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15? | Yes | 376 | 75¢ | 86.5¢ | $325 | +$43 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 13, 2026? | No | 2,859 | 12.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$358 | −$12 | |
| Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York? | No | 2,698 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$26 | −$1.02 | |
| Will it rain in Miami, FL on August 27? | No | 506 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.51 | −$0.03 | |
| Falcons vs. Packers | Packers | 5 | 70¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.50 | $0 |
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