PnL all-time−$436vol $10.6k
PnL 30d−$358gains $858 · losses $507
PnL 7d+$64win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate53.8%adj 51.5% · 30d 53.8%
Open value$1,417cash n/a
Positions4 / 17open / all-time
Max drawdown−53.7%of equity peak
Account age23dlast trade 3d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$384below peak −$364Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
20/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 53.8% · shrunk toward 50%29
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable41
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d89
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity46
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yesclosed+$638Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow? · Yesclosed+$132Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$65Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026? · Noopen+$62Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$12
Worst markets
Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg? · Yesopen−$788Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yesclosed−$188Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yesclosed−$158Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · Noclosed−$68Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yesclosed−$57
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026? | No | 1,473 | 91.9¢ | 96.1¢ | $1,414 | +$62 | $0 | |
| Trump meets with Putin by November 30? | No | 5 | 25¢ | 24.5¢ | $1.23 | −$0.03 | $0 | |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 1 | 93¢ | 94.5¢ | $1.02 | +$0.02 | $0 | |
| Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg? | Yes | 979 | 80.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$784 | −$3.86 |
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