PnL all-time+$15.4kvol $1.48M
PnL 30d+$7,176gains $2,500 · losses $3,163
PnL 7d+$1,039win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate63.2%adj 62.3% · 30d 58.3%
Open value$23.6kcash n/a
Positions9 / 283open / all-time
Max drawdown−56.7%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 13m ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$18.0kbelow peak −$424Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
62/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale60
Adjusted win rateraw 63.2% · shrunk toward 50%56
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable82
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity43
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yesopen+$6,153Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Noopen+$3,095Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Noclosed+$3,062Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$1,914Fed rate cut by September 18? · Yesclosed+$1,653
Worst markets
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$3,095Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$2,565US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yesclosed−$1,564Fed rate hike in 2026? · Noclosed−$574France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · Franceclosed−$482
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 15.0k | 71.4¢ | 83.5¢ | $12.5k | +$1,810 | +$4,343 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 10.0k | 50¢ | 81¢ | $8,095 | +$3,095 | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10.0k | 50¢ | 19.1¢ | $1,905 | −$3,095 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,700 | 55.3¢ | 47.9¢ | $815 | −$125 | −$38 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 500 | 41¢ | 42.5¢ | $213 | +$7.67 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 8? | Yes | 150 | 18¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$27 | −$1.11 | |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 496 | 26.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$131 | −$0.89 | |
| Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 492 | 32.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$162 | −$5.03 | |
| Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 300 | 15.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$48 | −$2.01 |
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