PnL all-time+$156kvol $6.33M
PnL 30d+$17.3kgains $24.2k · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate51.4%adj 51.4% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions9 / 530open / all-time
Max drawdown−39.5%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 2mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$156kbelow peak $0Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
51/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale74
Adjusted win rateraw 51.4% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable91
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity61
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · Yesclosed+$78.0kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$31.0kUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15? · Noclosed+$27.1kWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yesclosed+$24.2kUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · Yesclosed+$16.6k
Worst markets
Iran closes its airspace by May 24? · Yesopen−$44.3kStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · Yesclosed−$26.5kUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15? · Yesclosed−$24.5kWill Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? · Noopen−$16.4kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$13.9k
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | Yes | 49.6k | 89.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$44.4k | +$122 | |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 39.9k | 5.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,095 | $0 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 35.6k | 38.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13.9k | $0 | |
| Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? | No | 24.5k | 65.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$16.1k | −$275 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 10.0k | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,500 | $0 | |
| Will Michael Gagliano Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? | Yes | 4,924 | 15.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$745 | −$32 | |
| France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Over | 4,000 | 55¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,200 | $0 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | Yes | 2,099 | 89.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,887 | $0 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | No | 987 | 8.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$85 | +$3,283 |
Recent trades
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