PnL all-time−$91vol $43.7k
PnL 30d+$66gains $53 · losses $7.67
PnL 7d+$58win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate47.1%adj 48.6% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$982cash n/a
Positions2 / 19open / all-time
Max drawdown−9.8%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 3d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$80below peak −$29Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
26/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 47.1% · shrunk toward 50%22
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable43
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d88
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity90
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$53Will Biden finish his term? · Yesclosed+$26Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? · Noopen+$8.91US recession in 2025? · Noclosed+$3.67Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? · Yesclosed+$3.36
Worst markets
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$78Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? · Yesclosed−$33Will Anna Kanopatskaya win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$30Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League? · Yesclosed−$15Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Noclosed−$7.67
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 849 | 97.8¢ | 98.9¢ | $839 | +$8.91 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 154 | 94¢ | 92.5¢ | $143 | −$2.31 | $0 |
Recent trades
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