sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

China-Eastern

0xb58…7336
WR 60+PoliticsWeatherSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$92vol $11.1k
PnL 30d−$13gains $186 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$46win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate63.6%adj 57.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$1,026cash n/a
Positions38 / 61open / all-time
Max drawdown−25.9%of equity peak
Account age2molast trade 13d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$33below peak −$80Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

34/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale28
Adjusted win rateraw 63.6% · shrunk toward 50%43
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable60
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d56
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity74

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$71Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? · Noclosed+$63Will Yegor Kovalchuk win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections? · Yesclosed+$36Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award? · Yesclosed+$24Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · Yesclosed+$14

Worst markets

Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · Noopen−$80Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yesopen−$49Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? · Noopen−$33Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? · Yesopen−$21Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? · Noclosed−$11

Open positions · 38

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?No69784.5¢74¢$516−$73−$6.61
Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?No33786¢89.5¢$302+$12−$0.22
Will Labor win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?No3593¢95.3¢$33+$0.79$0
Will any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?Yes26011.1¢12.8¢$33+$4.34+$0.02
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes11625.6¢25.8¢$30+$0.17$0
Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes17612.5¢10.5¢$18−$3.51$0
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?No2941.5¢55¢$16+$3.93−$0.50
Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes719.5¢11.5¢$8.15+$1.42−$0.72
Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?Yes1013¢73.5¢$7.07+$5.82+$0.27
Will Tommie Ekered be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?No891.7¢80.5¢$6.63−$0.93+$0.06
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?No3021.8¢21¢$6.37−$0.24$0
Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?Yes2659¢20¢$5.20−$10$0
Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?No584¢95.9¢$4.79+$0.59$0
Will Milena Quiroga Romero win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?No578¢94.8¢$4.74+$0.84$0
Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes2610.5¢16.5¢$4.35+$1.58$0
Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?Yes520¢83.5¢$4.19+$3.19$0
Will Andrea Chávez Treviño win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?No587¢78¢$3.90−$0.45$0
Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?No570¢70.9¢$3.54+$0.04$0
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?Yes1036.3¢35.5¢$3.46−$0.08+$2.71
Will Marco Bonilla Mendoza win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?No563¢64.5¢$3.23+$0.07$0
Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?Yes513¢57¢$2.85+$2.20+$0.40
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation stay above 1,038 ft?No190¢97.8¢$1.22+$0.10$0
Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?No575¢21¢$1.05−$2.70$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No187¢90.5¢$1.04+$0.04$0
Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes514¢20.5¢$1.02+$0.33$0
Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes197.7¢5.1¢$0.97−$0.50$0
Will Derek Giberson win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?Yes208¢4.5¢$0.89−$0.69$0
Will Greens win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes510¢16.6¢$0.83+$0.33$0
Will Geraldine Ponce Méndez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?Yes2020¢3.7¢$0.73−$3.27$0
Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?No564.5¢12.3¢$0.61−$2.61$0
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25?Yes86.3¢2.2¢$0.18−$0.34$0
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0?Yes251.4¢0.2¢$0.04−$0.31$0
Will Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Yes2310¢0.2¢$0.03−$2.28$0
Will Jorge Álvarez Máynez win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?Yes109¢0.2¢$0.01−$0.88$0
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes15631.5¢0¢$0−$49−$0.21
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Yes3643.3¢0¢$0−$16−$5.05
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?No3049.8¢0¢$0−$15−$18
Will Brittany Allen – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?Yes515.9¢0¢$0−$0.80$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?22¢18$3.9964%34
BUY YesWill DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?13¢78$1064%34
BUY YesWill Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?59¢13$7.6764%34
BUY YesWill Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?59¢13$7.6764%34
SELL NoWill Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?60¢28$1764%34
BUY NoWill Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?52¢34$1864%34
BUY YesWill any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?11¢22$2.4264%34
BUY YesWill another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?40¢12$4.7064%34
BUY YesWill another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?40¢12$4.7064%34
BUY NoWill DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?91¢7$6.3764%34
BUY NoWill DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?92¢5$4.6064%34
BUY YesWill CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?13¢261$3464%34
BUY YesWill CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?12¢33$3.9464%34
BUY NoWill CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?89¢5$4.4564%34
SELL YesWill Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?10¢40$4.0064%34
SELL YesWill Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?9¢17$1.5064%34
BUY YesWill Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?10¢176$1864%34
BUY YesWill Yegor Kovalchuk win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?93.1¢272$25364%34
SELL YesWill Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?38¢6$2.2864%34
SELL NoWill United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?64¢6$3.5364%34