PnL all-time+$58.1kvol $3.88M
PnL 30d−$137gains $173 · losses $1,790
PnL 7d−$177win rate 7d 40.0%
Win rate74.5%adj 71.6% · 30d 33.3%
Open value$33.5kcash n/a
Positions9 / 161open / all-time
Max drawdown−58.1%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 1h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$59.1kbelow peak −$53.5kOct 10
SharpScore inputs
66/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale68
Adjusted win rateraw 74.5% · shrunk toward 50%79
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable74
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity42
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%? · Yesclosed+$42.0kWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? · Yesclosed+$32.2kWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? · Noclosed+$19.0kKamala Harris wins the popular vote? · Noclosed+$10.0kWill the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election? · Yesclosed+$8,814
Worst markets
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? · Noclosed−$49.0kWill Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election? · Noclosed−$12.5kWill the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election? · Yesclosed−$8,181Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority? · Yesclosed−$7,325Liberals win majority in Canadian election? · Yesclosed−$6,893
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 23.2k | 72.9¢ | 75¢ | $17.4k | +$483 | +$881 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | Yes | 17.4k | 91.1¢ | 89.5¢ | $15.6k | −$279 | −$386 | |
| Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election? | Yes | 559 | 70.9¢ | 69.5¢ | $388 | −$7.74 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 73 | 91.1¢ | 90.5¢ | $66 | −$0.42 | $0 | |
| Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria? | Yes | 52 | 74¢ | 68.5¢ | $36 | −$2.85 | −$6.32 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 14 | 36¢ | 33¢ | $4.72 | −$0.43 | +$6.92 | |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7,800 | 5.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$406 | $0 | |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7,800 | 4.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$328 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | Up | 68 | 60¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$41 | −$1.15 |
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