sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,364

lastminwin

0xb5d…6e35
WhalePolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$2,643vol $2.19M
PnL 30d+$3,929gains $14 · losses $6,001
PnL 7d+$1,619win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate40.0%adj 48.0% · 30d 40.0%
Open value$438kcash n/a
Positions55 / 60open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age36dlast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$3,920below peak −$3,319Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

14/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 40.0% · shrunk toward 50%20
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable59
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d92
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 55

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No112k77.7¢80.2¢$89.9k+$2,747$0
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?No48.8k72.4¢78.5¢$38.3k+$2,962$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo41.5k87.7¢91.5¢$38.0k+$1,569$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes47.5k66.5¢71.5¢$33.9k+$2,381$0
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No36.3k85.9¢87.5¢$31.8k+$597$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes45.2k69.9¢57.5¢$26.0k−$5,622$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No25.0k92.2¢92.6¢$23.2k+$88$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes25.6k83.9¢85.7¢$21.9k+$447$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No20.0k99.7¢99.9¢$20.0k+$38$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes32.1k55¢61.5¢$19.7k+$2,081$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes18.0k52¢62.5¢$11.2k+$1,887$0
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes36.8k31.6¢28.5¢$10.5k−$1,143$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes20.0k42.6¢41.3¢$8,250−$270+$3,344
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes11.6k64¢63.5¢$7,358−$58$0
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes70.0k13.1¢10.5¢$7,350−$1,849$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes13.2k44.8¢44.5¢$5,877−$34$0
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes12.1k29.8¢38.5¢$4,655+$1,049$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes30.0k21.3¢15.5¢$4,650−$1,750$0
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes24.6k13.8¢15.5¢$3,814+$428$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes20.0k14¢15.5¢$3,100+$300$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Yes60.0k6.7¢5¢$3,000−$1,000$0
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes7,43529.7¢38.5¢$2,863+$654$0
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No30.0k9¢9.5¢$2,850+$150$0
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes95.4k2.6¢2.8¢$2,625+$116$0
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes129k0.7¢2¢$2,579+$1,680$0
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes50.0k5.1¢5.1¢$2,525−$52$0
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?No20.2k8¢8.5¢$1,720+$101$0
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes44.2k3.1¢3.2¢$1,393+$36$0
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes65.0k2¢2¢$1,267−$2.29$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes200k0.2¢0.5¢$1,000+$600$0
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes49.1k1.5¢1.7¢$811+$74$0
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes55.0k1.9¢1.4¢$742−$298$0
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?No66693¢96.3¢$641+$22$0
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes69.6k0.8¢0.9¢$626+$80$0
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes33.2k1.3¢1.8¢$581+$133$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Yes10,00016¢5.5¢$550−$1,050$0
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes200k0.3¢0.3¢$500−$100$0
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes24.1k2.1¢2.1¢$494−$3.73$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes100k0.6¢0.4¢$350−$300$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes10,0002.9¢2.9¢$285−$5.00$0
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes20.0k1.9¢1.3¢$250−$130$0
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes20.0k0.8¢1¢$190+$30$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes16.3k1.1¢1.1¢$171−$1.39$0
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.5k0.6¢0.8¢$79+$16$0
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8,4250.8¢0.9¢$76+$8.43$0
Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Yes5,00022¢1.3¢$62−$1,037$0
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2028?Yes30025¢17¢$51−$24$0
Will J.D. Vance be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?No5494¢94.5¢$51+$0.27$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes20.0k0.7¢0.2¢$30−$111$0
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes3,6670.6¢0.7¢$26+$3.76$0
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes3,6140.3¢0.4¢$13+$1.81$0
Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?No1570¢70.5¢$10+$0.07$0
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes2,5710.2¢0.3¢$6.43+$1.29$0
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes9060.3¢0.4¢$3.17+$0.45$0
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes511.6¢2.1¢$1.05+$0.23$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?42.6¢12.8k$5,46540%14
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?9¢424$3840%14
BUY YesWill an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?26¢1$0.3740%14
SELL YesWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?44.1¢313$13840%14
BUY YesWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1.9¢105$2.0040%14
SELL YesWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?42.8¢8,170$3,49740%14
SELL YesWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?42.9¢25.0k$10.7k40%14Whale
BUY YesWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.2¢91.1k$18240%14
BUY NoWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?84.4¢8,945$7,55140%14
BUY YesWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?5¢866$4340%14
BUY YesWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?2.7¢22.6k$61140%14
BUY NoWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?79.3¢2,064$1,63740%14
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?8¢4$0.3140%14
SELL YesWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?49¢782$38340%14
SELL YesWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?49¢2,451$1,20140%14
BUY NoWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?49¢1,683$82440%14
BUY NoWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?78¢15.0k$11.7k40%14Whale
BUY YesWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.8¢3,289$2640%14
BUY YesBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?21¢6,809$1,43040%14
BUY YesWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?14¢82$1140%14