sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,313

FrozenUSDC

0xb5e…a5f9
PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$7,903vol $228k
PnL 30d+$9,054gains $8,192 · losses $2,779
PnL 7d+$2,940win rate 7d 64.3%
Win rate54.4%adj 54.3% · 30d 73.0%
Open value$18.5kcash n/a
Positions149 / 855open / all-time
Max drawdown−3.6%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 14m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$12.1kbelow peak $0Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

70/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale56
Adjusted win rateraw 54.4% · shrunk toward 50%36
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable98
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity96

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Nelly Dever win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Yes3,09315.8¢28.7¢$889+$401$0
Will Alia Hyacinth Iormem win the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election?Yes1,30759.8¢67.5¢$882+$101$0
Will Andile Lungisa be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?No1,14166.6¢74.5¢$850+$90+$39
Will Mkhuleko Hlengwa be the next mayor of eThekwini?No91073.7¢92.5¢$842+$171$0
Will Daniel Mullen win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?No94970¢69¢$655−$9.96−$0.84
Will Kristian Horvath win the next Sorell mayoral election?Yes1,00016.6¢47.5¢$475+$309$0
Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?No51486.4¢83.5¢$429−$15$0
Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?Yes57466.4¢74¢$425+$44$0
Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?Yes46029.1¢90.8¢$418+$284+$28
Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?Yes54771.6¢75.5¢$413+$22$0
Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?Yes60157.8¢63¢$379+$31$0
Will Harwinder Sandhu win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?No45270.2¢83.5¢$377+$60+$22
Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?No58252.4¢63¢$367+$62+$57
Will Yisrael Beiteinu win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No45081.5¢80.5¢$362−$4.54+$11
Will Werner Pretorius be the next mayor of Mangaung?No51662.4¢65.5¢$338+$16+$61
Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?Yes52755¢62¢$327+$37$0
Will Sasha Austin win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?No3290¢96.7¢$318+$318$0
Will Isa Ali Ibrahim Pantami win the 2027 Gombe State gubernatorial election?No47354.8¢60¢$284+$24$0
Will Michal Uherčík win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?No50052.5¢55.5¢$278+$15+$4.40
Will Gord Krantz win the 2026 Milton mayoral election?Yes48043.4¢56¢$269+$60$0
Will Scarlett Gillespie win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?No27985¢93.3¢$260+$23+$18
Will Shannon Weber win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?Yes1,14910.2¢20.8¢$240+$123$0
Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026?No31075.4¢72.5¢$225−$9.13$0
Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Yes95912.8¢23¢$221+$97$0
Will Kazuma Nakatani win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?No24278.4¢86.2¢$208+$19+$22
Will Len Isleifson win the 2026 Brandon mayoral election?No40026.1¢51.5¢$206+$102+$30
Will Sue Hickey win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?Yes31552.9¢59.5¢$187+$21$0
Will James Redgrave win the next Latrobe mayoral election?No21475.2¢85¢$182+$21$0
Will Ken Yee Chew win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Yes50633.2¢35.5¢$180+$12$0
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?No1,00912¢17.5¢$177+$55$0
Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?No78232.2¢22.5¢$176−$76+$99
Will Jiří Veselka be the next Mayor of Liberec?No18083.7¢92.9¢$167+$17+$19
Arizona passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?No43038.6¢37.5¢$161−$4.82$0
Will Carl Cooper win the next West Tamar mayoral election?No18783.3¢83.5¢$156+$0.37$0
Will Brendan Blomeley win the next Clarence mayoral election?No42123.5¢36.5¢$154+$54$0
Will Raquel Carter win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election?Yes8739.6¢17.5¢$153+$69$0
Will Ignotas Adomavičius win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?No19782.7¢76¢$150−$13$0
Will Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar win the next Cusco mayoral elections?Yes16434¢90.9¢$149+$93$0
Will Babalwa Lobishe be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?Yes8996.1¢16.2¢$146+$91$0
Will the Student List win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes44430.7¢32¢$142+$5.58$0
Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?No31435¢44¢$138+$28$0
Will Navdeep Bains win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?Yes35934.9¢38¢$136+$11$0
Will Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?Yes1,15013.8¢11.5¢$132−$26−$2.59
Will Branislav Becík win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election?Yes14673¢87.4¢$128+$21$0
Will Linda Annis win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?No15278.9¢83.2¢$126+$6.49+$13
Will Mohammed Ashiru Isa win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?No16869.3¢72¢$121+$4.53$0
Will Trevor Giertuga win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election?No23353.2¢51¢$119−$5.21+$53
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Yes23756.2¢50¢$119−$15+$7.57
Will Dems win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes25028.9¢47¢$118+$45$0
Will Stephanie Cameron win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?Yes21143.3¢55¢$116+$25$0
Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?No14280.1¢81¢$115+$1.32−$2.94
Will Democrats win 6 or more House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?No13979¢80.7¢$112+$2.37$0
Will Yakubu Adamu win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?Yes5598¢20¢$112+$67$0
Will Louise Bloomfield win the next Hobart mayoral election?No12084¢92.5¢$111+$10+$23
Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes16363¢67.5¢$110+$7.35$0
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?No28336.7¢37¢$105+$0.71−$9.28
Will Nasiphi Moya be the next mayor of Tshwane?Yes41519.9¢24¢$100+$17$0
Will Jeff Fawcett win the 2026 Brandon mayoral election?Yes30438.2¢32.5¢$99−$17$0
Will Jan Dohnal be the next Mayor of Ostrava?No18468.9¢52.8¢$97−$30$0
Will Apostle Mxolisi Phakathi be the next mayor of eThekwini?Yes29215.3¢32.4¢$94+$50+$2.76
Will Kash Heed win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?Yes28827.4¢31.5¢$91+$12+$22
Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes30134.3¢30¢$90−$13$0
Will PCN win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes25128.3¢35¢$88+$17$0
Will Antanas Šakalis win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?No9286.4¢93.6¢$86+$6.52+$16
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?No11972.4¢70¢$83−$2.81$0
Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?No32514¢25.5¢$83+$37$0
Will Dorothy McCabe win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?No26913.9¢30¢$81+$43+$67
Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?No20040¢40¢$80$0$0
California Expedited Environmental Review PropositionNo12848.4¢61¢$78+$16$0
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes15844¢47.5¢$75+$5.54$0
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?Yes25229.5¢28.5¢$72−$2.41$0
Will Princess Faku be the next mayor of Buffalo City?No22327.8¢31.5¢$70+$8.27+$33
Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?Yes8972.3¢78.2¢$70+$5.24+$43
Will Alison Jarman win the next Devonport mayoral election?Yes15059.8¢46¢$69−$21$0
Will Nthabiseng Tshivenga be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?No7686.6¢86.8¢$66+$0.17+$46
Will Kyle Sampson win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election?No9458.4¢66.5¢$63+$7.67$0
Will Su Ching-chuan win the next Pingtung County Magistrate election?Yes50013.6¢12¢$60−$8.04$0
Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?Yes10065.7¢59.5¢$59−$6.18$0
Will Steve Martin win the next Devonport mayoral election?No8770¢67.5¢$59−$2.17$0
Will Alexa Loo win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?Yes30514.4¢18.5¢$57+$12$0
Will Tsao Erh-yuan win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?Yes38519.1¢14.6¢$56−$18$0
Will Vamos win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?No7071¢74¢$52+$2.10$0
Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial second round by less than 3%?No5675.4¢90.5¢$51+$8.51$0
Will Leanne Caron win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?No10541¢48¢$50+$7.30$0
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?No10245¢46.5¢$48+$1.53$0
Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?No5673¢85¢$47+$6.68$0
Haiti elections delayed again?Yes5066¢91.5¢$46+$13$0
Will Jaroslav Polaček win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?No7056¢64.5¢$45+$5.98$0
Will RZP-Zehut be in the next Israeli government?No8054.9¢56¢$45+$0.85$0
Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes15816.7¢28¢$44+$18$0
Will Caroline Larner win the next West Tamar mayoral election?No4685.1¢95.4¢$44+$4.75+$2.11
Will Casey Farrell win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?Yes12015.2¢36¢$43+$25$0
Will Wu Tsung-hsien win the next Yilan County Magistrate election?Yes15018.7¢28.5¢$43+$15$0
Will Kirk LaPointe win the 2026 West Vancouver mayoral election?No6654.5¢63¢$42+$5.62$0
Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?No18411.9¢22.2¢$41+$19$0
Will Khathutshelo Rasilingwane be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?Yes2673.7¢15.1¢$40+$30$0
Will Dillon Roberts win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?No5781.4¢65¢$37−$9.26$0
Will Jamilu Isyaku Gwamna win the 2027 Gombe State gubernatorial election?Yes6053¢61¢$37+$4.80$0
Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?Yes7169.9¢5¢$36−$35$0
Will Jongizizwe Dlabathi be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?Yes16211.8¢21¢$34+$15$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?64.1¢206$13254%70
BUY YesWill Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?76¢100$7654%70
BUY NoWill Trevor Giertuga win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election?55.3¢170$9454%70
BUY NoWill Kirk LaPointe win the 2026 West Vancouver mayoral election?54¢102$5554%70
BUY NoWill Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?88.1¢75$6654%70
BUY NoWill Ignotas Adomavičius win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?80.4¢22$1854%70
BUY NoWill Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?85.7¢80$6954%70
BUY YesWill Kevin Acton win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?66¢61$4054%70
BUY NoArizona passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?38.3¢500$19254%70
BUY NoWill Steve Martin win the next Devonport mayoral election?68¢125$8554%70
BUY YesWill Eric Woodward win the 2026 Langley Township mayoral election?39¢161$6354%70
BUY YesWill Labor win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?19¢100$1954%70
BUY NoWill the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?58.3¢274$16054%70
BUY YesWill there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?55.4¢250$13954%70
BUY NoWill SPD be in the next Berlin state government?16.7¢111$1954%70
BUY NoWill Jagrup Brar win the next Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?51¢50$2654%70
BUY YesWill Garry Purewal win the next Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?48.1¢115$5554%70
BUY YesWill Axel Kicillof win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?19¢183$3554%70
SELL YesWill Kristian Horvath win the next Sorell mayoral election?26.7¢173$4654%70
SELL NoWill there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?68.8¢118$8154%70