sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

flywheelpoly

0xb63…4c42@FluffyUnicornn9
WR 60+1y+SportCultureOtherPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$4,889vol $997k
PnL 30d−$2,650gains $3,339 · losses $3,717
PnL 7d−$508win rate 7d 77.9%
Win rate69.2%adj 68.4% · 30d 76.4%
Open value$3,076cash n/a
Positions344 / 2,077open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$3,328below peak −$4,826Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

41/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 69.2% · shrunk toward 50%71
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?No91073¢76.1¢$692+$28$0
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?No60576.3¢98.8¢$597+$136$0
Gemini 4.0 released by October 12, 2026?No44484¢95.6¢$425+$51+$20
Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?Yes58852.3¢56¢$329+$22−$0.51
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1?Yes51415.9¢56.7¢$291+$210+$33
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?Yes29681.9¢86.5¢$256+$14+$0.87
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1?Yes57654.8¢32.2¢$185−$130$0
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?Yes12062¢62¢$74$0$0
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 in October?Yes8132¢69¢$56+$30$0
Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 32% to 34%?Yes10055¢49.5¢$50−$5.50$0
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?Yes10043¢41.5¢$42−$1.50$0
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $75M one day after launch?Yes2591.2¢90.8¢$23−$0.12$0
Will there be no Gemini Argon release by October 31, 2026?No1983.3¢85¢$16+$0.31$0
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $380 in October?Yes3033¢36¢$11+$0.90$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?Yes1092¢87¢$8.70−$0.50$0
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $300 in October?No882¢90.5¢$6.79+$0.64$0
Will Dragan Čović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes4338.3¢1¢$4.11−$32$0
Will Zoran Tegeltija be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes813.5¢4.7¢$3.77+$0.89+$0.31
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-14 House election by 30% or more?Yes262.9¢12.3¢$3.24+$2.46$0
Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?No168¢93¢$0.93+$0.25+$2.52
Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?Yes189¢74¢$0.83−$0.17$0
Will Olivia Rodrigo be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Yes463.5¢0.5¢$0.21−$1.40$0
Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 30% to 32%?Yes43¢3.3¢$0.12+$0.01$0
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?Yes12527¢0.1¢$0.06−$34$0
Will "Other Mommy" score at least 30 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes196.6¢0.5¢$0−$1.00$0
Will "Other Mommy" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes195¢0.1¢$0−$1.00$0
Will "Wicked: For Good" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes3,1361.8¢0¢$0−$56$0
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs VP.Prodigy - Game 2 WinnerVP.Prodigy3,0000.1¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026?No2,29815.6¢0¢$0−$359+$3.37
Will Liechtenstein win on 2025-11-18?Yes2,0000.6¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will San Marino win on 2025-11-18?Yes1,9000.7¢0¢$0−$13+$0.80
Will Team Heretics win the EWC Valorant TournamentYes1,6894.2¢0¢$0−$70+$4.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 20?Up1,64211¢0¢$0−$181−$324
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 16-22?Yes1,5837.7¢0¢$0−$123−$40
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C or higher on December 16?Yes1,5501.2¢0¢$0−$18$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?Yes1,5250.5¢0¢$0−$8.07+$0.47
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 27-February 2?No1,4946¢0¢$0−$89$0
Will Team Vitality Win VCT EMEA Stage 2 2026?Yes1,45721.3¢0¢$0−$310+$4.89
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?No1,38118¢0¢$0−$249−$164
LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?No1,21421.8¢0¢$0−$264−$1.77
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on December 16?Yes1,1220.1¢0¢$0−$1.61$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Yes1,11913.7¢0¢$0−$153+$1.55
Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5Over1,05896¢0¢$0−$1,016$0
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes1,01828.4¢0¢$0−$289−$2.16
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?No1,00081¢0¢$0−$810+$187
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 53°F or below on December 16?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 23°F or below on December 15?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 50°F or higher on December 15?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No1,00016¢0¢$0−$160$0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 47°F or below on December 16?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -5°C or below on December 16?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 51°F or below on December 15?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C or below on December 17?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C or below on December 17?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or higher on December 16?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C or higher on December 15?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 44°F or higher on December 16?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on December 16?Yes9990.1¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Over $8M committed to the RipCars public sale?No98127.3¢0¢$0−$268−$1.43
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?No93927.2¢0¢$0−$255+$43
Counter-Strike: CyberDynamo vs Team CS2NEWS - Map 1 WinnerTeam CS2NEWS92098.1¢0¢$0−$903+$0.02
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial (BO3)NRG90024.4¢0¢$0−$220$0
Will Gibraltar win on 2025-11-17?Yes9001.2¢0¢$0−$11$0
Will FULL SENSE Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?Yes88916.8¢0¢$0−$149+$0.38
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No86010.4¢0¢$0−$90+$6.81
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes82058.8¢0¢$0−$482−$7.56
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerBetBoom Team8004.5¢0¢$0−$36$0
Will Lithuania win on 2025-11-17?Yes8001.4¢0¢$0−$11$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 5?Yes7704.5¢0¢$0−$35−$0.25
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?Yes7003.2¢0¢$0−$22+$1.14
Will Lacy or Marlon die to a skeleton again?Yes69645¢0¢$0−$313−$6.12
Will Team Heretics be the Last VCT EMEA Team Standing at EWC 2026?Yes6101.9¢0¢$0−$12−$0.07
Will Wales vs. North Macedonia end in a draw?Yes60012¢0¢$0−$72$0
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes6005.8¢0¢$0−$35$0
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1)Natus Vincere6001¢0¢$0−$6.00$0
Will Shopify Rebellion Black Win North America ACE Stage 3Yes56441.5¢0¢$0−$234−$4.58
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes50030¢0¢$0−$150$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on December 17?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on January 11?No5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?Yes5005.3¢0¢$0−$26$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on December 18?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 49°F or below on December 16?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on December 16?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C on December 16?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 48-49°F on December 18?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 24-25°F on December 15?Yes4660.1¢0¢$0−$0.47$0
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 23, 2026?No41416¢0¢$0−$66−$0.67
Will Serbia vs. Latvia end in a draw?Yes4008¢0¢$0−$32$0
Will Germany vs. Slovakia end in a draw?Yes40014¢0¢$0−$56$0
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-11-25?Yes4009¢0¢$0−$36$0
Valorant: BBL Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA PlayoffsBBL Esports40028.2¢0¢$0−$113−$0.74
Will Slovakia win on 2025-11-17?Yes4008¢0¢$0−$32$0
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026?No40029¢0¢$0−$116−$2.69
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes4003¢0¢$0−$12−$9.24
Will SWIM be the first song performed by BTS at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?Yes3609.8¢0¢$0−$35−$1.03
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid35020.5¢0¢$0−$72$0
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?Yes3453.1¢0¢$0−$11−$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 41°F or below on December 17?Yes3400.3¢0¢$0−$1.02$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1?25¢400$10069%41
SELL YesWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?1.6¢292$4.5369%41
SELL YesWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?14.5¢450$6569%41
SELL YesWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?26¢88$2369%41
BUY YesWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1?39.9¢20$7.9869%41
SELL YesWill "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 90?93.3¢38$3569%41
BUY YesGemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?52¢51$2669%41
SELL YesWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?22.4¢170$3869%41
SELL YesWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?25.5¢158$4069%41
SELL YesWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?11.2¢350$3969%41
SELL YesWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?20¢518$10469%41
SELL YesWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?23.4¢360$8469%41
BUY YesWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?76¢77$5969%41
BUY YesGemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?46¢50$2369%41
BUY YesGemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?46¢50$2369%41
BUY NoWill Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?61.5¢40$2569%41
BUY YesGemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?45¢74$3369%41
SELL YesWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 15 and 17.5 million views on day 1?5.1¢539$2869%41
BUY NoWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 12.5 and 15 million views on day 1?94¢5$4.7169%41
SELL YesWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 15 and 17.5 million views on day 1?14¢10$1.4069%41