PnL all-time+$95.0kvol $4.21M
PnL 30d+$35.8kgains $59.1k · losses $2,009
PnL 7d+$455win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate85.2%adj 70.2% · 30d 85.7%
Open value$202kcash n/a
Positions3 / 32open / all-time
Max drawdown−28.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 6d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$113kbelow peak −$1,043Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
49/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale71
Adjusted win rateraw 85.2% · shrunk toward 50%76
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable50
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d79
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity72
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Trump out as President before 2027? · Noopen+$24.7kWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$24.0kWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Noclosed+$21.5kNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$13.4kWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Noclosed+$12.6k
Worst markets
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? · Yesclosed−$8,610Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? · Noclosed−$4,435Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$2,009Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Noclosed−$1,860
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 150k | 85.8¢ | 95.5¢ | $143k | +$14.6k | +$10.1k | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 69.0k | 82¢ | 84.5¢ | $58.3k | +$1,726 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1,000 | 94¢ | 94.5¢ | $945 | +$5.00 | $0 |
Recent trades
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