sharpside
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Traders/Rank #180

Kapii

0xb74…b050
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+PoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$993kvol $31.6M
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate60.6%adj 60.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions44 / 865open / all-time
Max drawdown−5.7%of equity peak
Account age2.6ylast trade 9mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$993kbelow peak −$45.7kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

63/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale86
Adjusted win rateraw 60.6% · shrunk toward 50%51
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable98
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity94

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? · Yesclosed+$128kWill Austria win Eurovision 2025? · Yesclosed+$101kWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? · Noclosed+$78.3kWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Noclosed+$51.5kWill Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by between 40% and 45%? · Noclosed+$39.3k

Worst markets

Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10? · Yesclosed−$63.1kWill Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5? · Noclosed−$53.7kUkraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? · Noclosed−$26.8kWill Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025? · Noopen−$22.6kWill Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by between 30% and 35%? · Yesclosed−$20.3k

Open positions · 44

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will global temperature increase by between 0.90–0.94ºC in July 2025?Yes108k1¢0¢$0−$1,131$0
Will global temperature increase by between 0.95–0.99ºC in July 2025?Yes58.7k4.7¢0¢$0−$2,760$0
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?Yes47.2k4.5¢0¢$0−$2,145−$424
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes40.8k16¢0¢$0−$6,523−$1,758
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?No36.9k61.2¢0¢$0−$22.6k+$11
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?Yes23.1k19.6¢0¢$0−$4,541$0
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?No21.9k36.1¢0¢$0−$7,886$0
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?No21.2k69.8¢0¢$0−$14.8k−$115
Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?Yes20.0k3.1¢0¢$0−$626−$578
Will Trump and Zelenskyy hug on Monday?Yes18.4k5.8¢0¢$0−$1,058$0
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes17.5k50.7¢0¢$0−$8,874$0
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?No16.3k65.8¢0¢$0−$10.7k$0
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes14.1k29.5¢0¢$0−$4,150−$852
Will Medina and Quiroga advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?Yes10.0k85¢0¢$0−$8,500$0
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?Yes7,5124.1¢0¢$0−$308$0
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?No6,98349¢0¢$0−$3,422$0
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?No6,37236.5¢0¢$0−$2,327$0
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?No5,85377¢0¢$0−$4,507$0
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Yes5,74523¢0¢$0−$1,321$0
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Yes5,43036¢0¢$0−$1,955$0
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?Yes5,03831.7¢0¢$0−$1,596$0
Will the Red Bloc win by 16 or more seats?Yes4,93418.6¢0¢$0−$920−$92
F1 Italian GP: Verstappen vs. PiastriPiastri4,86533¢0¢$0−$1,605$0
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in October 2025 (LS)?No4,30025.1¢0¢$0−$1,078$0
Will Trump say "Suit" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes4,20536¢0¢$0−$1,513$0
Green Party (MDG) wins 4% or more of vote in Norwegian election?No3,95715.8¢0¢$0−$625−$25
Will PAS win by greater than >16% of the vote?No3,71269.8¢0¢$0−$2,589−$2,146
Will Zohran Mamdani win all 5 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Yes3,2188.8¢0¢$0−$282$0
Will ANO get between 30% and 33% of the vote in the Czech election?Yes1,96513¢0¢$0−$255$0
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Zelensky events on August 18?No1,80657.1¢0¢$0−$1,031$0
Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?No1,06961.3¢0¢$0−$656$0
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No1,00055.6¢0¢$0−$556$0
Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes49048¢0¢$0−$235+$439
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?No47223.8¢0¢$0−$112$0
Will Trump say "Pakistan" during Zelensky events on August 18?No41162.7¢0¢$0−$258$0
Will October 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?No39115¢0¢$0−$59$0
Will Ap win the second most seats in the Norway election?Yes27017¢0¢$0−$46$0
Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Yes2436¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 30% and 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes21624¢0¢$0−$52$0
Will PAS win by between 8-12% of the vote?Yes20520.5¢0¢$0−$42$0
Will SP win the fourth most seats in the Norway election?Yes14752¢0¢$0−$76$0
Will PAS win by between 4-8% of the vote?Yes13514¢0¢$0−$19$0
Will the Blue Bloc win by 1–4 seats?Yes572¢0¢$0−$1.14$0
Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be less than 35% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?Yes828¢0¢$0−$2.33$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?99.4¢368$36661%63
SELL NoWill 2025 be the hottest year on record?99.3¢0$0.2761%63
SELL NoWill Donald Trump visit China in 2025?99.7¢0$0.1761%63
SELL NoWill 2025 be the hottest year on record?99.2¢619$61461%63
SELL NoWill Donald Trump visit India in 2025?99.4¢86$8661%63
SELL NoWill 2025 be the hottest year on record?99.5¢479$47661%63
SELL YesMaduro out in 2025?2.8¢2,527$7161%63
SELL YesMaduro out in 2025?4.7¢1,834$8661%63
SELL YesUS forces in Venezuela by December 31?4.9¢4$0.1861%63
SELL YesUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?14¢8,780$1,22961%63
SELL YesWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?4.5¢6,863$31261%63
SELL NoWill Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?30.1¢1,848$55661%63
SELL NoWill Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?31¢420$13061%63
SELL NoWill Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?32¢1,561$50061%63
SELL YesWill Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?3.4¢2,527$8561%63
BUY NoWill Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?37.6¢52$2061%63
BUY NoWill Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?38.8¢4,409$1,71161%63
BUY NoWill Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?38¢500$19061%63
BUY NoWill Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?38¢3,000$1,14061%63
BUY NoWill Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?42¢254$10761%63