PnL all-time−$1,444vol $154k
PnL 30d−$903gains $350 · losses $878
PnL 7d−$150win rate 7d 14.3%
Win rate33.0%adj 35.8% · 30d 14.3%
Open value$740cash n/a
Positions2 / 105open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$1,539below peak −$2,049Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
26/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 33.0% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable67
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? · Yesclosed+$248US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$190US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$161US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? · Noclosed+$106Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Noclosed+$98
Worst markets
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yesclosed−$1,027Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? · Noclosed−$236Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yesopen−$216Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 17, 2026? · Noclosed−$193US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? · Noclosed−$165
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 5,776 | 13.9¢ | 11¢ | $635 | −$169 | −$47 | |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 673 | 15.1¢ | 15.5¢ | $104 | +$2.38 | $0 |
Recent trades
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