sharpside
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Traders/Rank #7,005

SatisfiedQuadrant

0xb77…e4e0
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,071vol $90.5k
PnL 30d+$1,275gains $1,872 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$87win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate97.0%adj 89.2% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$9,632cash n/a
Positions56 / 159open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 28d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$155below peak −$1,754Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

37/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 97.0% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable73
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d5
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Robert Alferink win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? · Noclosed+$290Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes? · Noclosed+$283Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Noclosed+$279Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? · Noopen+$267Will Trump say "Weightlifter" or "Weightlifting" during June 24 Rally? · Noclosed+$258

Worst markets

Will Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Noopen−$770Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes? · Noopen−$769Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? · Noopen−$765Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · Noopen−$763US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Noopen−$759

Open positions · 56

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?No92370.7¢99.7¢$920+$267$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 35% or more?No93880.4¢91.8¢$861+$106$0
Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?No88976.9¢84.5¢$751+$68$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 20%-25%?No74476.4¢97.5¢$726+$157$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?No65080.3¢86¢$559+$37$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 10%-15%?No65883¢81.5¢$536−$9.87$0
Will Khathutshelo Rasilingwane be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?No62165.1¢85¢$528+$124$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election by 5%-15%?No51387.3¢99.7¢$512+$63$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 21% or more?No82173.5¢57.5¢$472−$131−$10
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 15%-20%?No56384.7¢83.5¢$470−$6.92$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 9%-12%?No50282.6¢86.5¢$434+$19$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 55%-60%?No49682.6¢78.2¢$388−$22$0
Will Democrats win exactly 11 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?No27683.7¢90.9¢$251+$20$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 45%-50%?No25584.5¢93.5¢$238+$23$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 5%-10%?No33978.8¢68.5¢$232−$35$0
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No31875¢72.5¢$231−$8.01$0
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?No30871.7¢69.4¢$214−$7.12$0
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,650,000 and 4,800,000?No29971¢68.5¢$205−$7.45$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 50%-55%?No17884.7¢93.5¢$166+$16$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 20%-25%?No26281¢62.5¢$164−$48$0
Will Democrats win exactly 11 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?No24066.5¢60.5¢$145−$14$0
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,550,000 and 1,600,000?No11086.2¢99.9¢$110+$15$0
Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 1%?No11875.3¢90.5¢$107+$18$0
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?No11485.4¢82.5¢$94−$3.36$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-08 House election by 55% or more?No9279.5¢95.5¢$88+$15$0
Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes14861.5¢59¢$87−$3.74$0
Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?No10883.5¢69¢$75−$16$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 65%-70%?No7081¢98.7¢$69+$12$0
Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?No1,16665¢0¢$0−$758−$11
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No1,12966.4¢0¢$0−$750−$13
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No1,10069¢0¢$0−$759$0
Will Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No92182.9¢0¢$0−$764−$6.52
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No90384¢0¢$0−$759−$6.07
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No89678¢0¢$0−$699−$6.15
Will Trump say "MAGA" during June 24 Rally?Yes63575¢0¢$0−$476−$4.76
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No51274.6¢0¢$0−$382−$3.88
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No50076¢0¢$0−$380−$3.65
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No48579.3¢0¢$0−$385−$3.18
Will Procter & Gamble say "Customer" 5+ times during earnings call?No48479¢0¢$0−$382−$3.21
Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?No46580.6¢0¢$0−$375−$2.90
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?No45084.9¢0¢$0−$382−$2.88
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No44986¢0¢$0−$386−$2.16
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?No43389¢0¢$0−$385−$2.12
Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 42%-44%?No42086¢0¢$0−$361−$2.02
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 60% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?No41273.8¢0¢$0−$304−$3.19
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?No39084.8¢0¢$0−$330−$2.01
Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Wisconsin events?No38985.8¢0¢$0−$334−$1.57
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?No38365.4¢0¢$0−$251−$4.34
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Wisconsin events?No24868¢0¢$0−$169−$2.16
Will the Left Party (V) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No23867.4¢0¢$0−$160−$2.09
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 55.5 million views on day 6?No12988.9¢0¢$0−$115−$0.64
Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?No12083¢0¢$0−$100−$0.68
Will Trump say "Bomb" or "Bomber" during Tribute to America Rally?Yes10075¢0¢$0−$75−$0.75
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?No7273¢0¢$0−$53−$0.57
Will LPV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?No7076¢0¢$0−$53−$0.51
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?No6672.8¢0¢$0−$48−$0.52

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 50%-55%?84.7¢178$15197%37
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 45%-50%?84.5¢255$21597%37
BUY NoWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 5%-10%?78.8¢339$26797%37
BUY NoWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,650,000 and 4,800,000?71¢299$21297%37
BUY NoGemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?86¢883$75997%37
BUY NoWill the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 1%?75.3¢118$8997%37
BUY NoWill Benedita da Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?77.6¢219$17097%37
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 55%-60%?82.6¢496$41097%37
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election by 5%-15%?87.3¢513$44897%37
BUY NoWill AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes?69.4¢888$61797%37
BUY NoWill Democrats win exactly 11 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?83.7¢276$23197%37
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 35% or more?80.4¢938$75497%37
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-08 House election by 55% or more?79.5¢92$7397%37
BUY NoWill Trump meet with Mark Carney in September 2026?75.1¢106$8097%37
BUY NoWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 20%-25%?76.4¢744$56897%37
BUY NoUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?69¢1,100$75997%37
BUY NoWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,550,000 and 1,600,000?86.2¢110$9597%37
BUY NoWill the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?78¢896$69997%37
BUY NoWill Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?70.7¢923$65397%37
BUY NoWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 20%-25%?81¢262$21297%37