PnL all-time+$24.3kvol $6.40M
PnL 30d−$15.1kgains $25.0k · losses $29.5k
PnL 7d+$393win rate 7d 85.7%
Win rate66.8%adj 66.1% · 30d 53.1%
Open value$794cash n/a
Positions4 / 504open / all-time
Max drawdown−4.2%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$29.2kbelow peak $0Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
76/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale63
Adjusted win rateraw 66.8% · shrunk toward 50%65
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity96
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$7,035Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Noopen+$6,335Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$4,735Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$4,541Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Noclosed+$2,074
Worst markets
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Noclosed−$3,808Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$3,441Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$3,412Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Noclosed−$3,385Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Noclosed−$2,893
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 16.8k | 2.4¢ | 2.5¢ | $412 | +$13 | +$1,597 | |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027? | Yes | 504 | 69.2¢ | 75.5¢ | $380 | +$32 | −$4.05 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 8 | 42¢ | 16.5¢ | $1.40 | −$2.17 | +$6,338 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | Yes | 1,477 | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$19 | −$0.76 |
Recent trades
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