PnL all-time+$799vol $46.3k
PnL 30d+$1,171gains $1,244 · losses $64
PnL 7d+$578win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate91.7%adj 81.3% · 30d 93.8%
Open value$4,282cash n/a
Positions9 / 69open / all-time
Max drawdown−47.9%of equity peak
Account age57dlast trade 1h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$991below peak $0Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale41
Adjusted win rateraw 91.7% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable61
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity52
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? · Yesopen+$97Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yesclosed+$91Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? · Noclosed+$90Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? · Noclosed+$84US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · Yesopen+$73
Worst markets
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Noopen−$500Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? · Noopen−$101Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? · Yesclosed−$57Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31? · Noclosed−$38Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · Noclosed−$7.08
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14? | Yes | 1,022 | 97.8¢ | 99.5¢ | $1,017 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | Yes | 900 | 77.8¢ | 88.5¢ | $797 | +$97 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 14? | Yes | 645 | 93¢ | 94.1¢ | $607 | +$6.77 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 14? | No | 622 | 96.4¢ | 96.1¢ | $598 | −$2.18 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 562 | 89¢ | 98.5¢ | $553 | +$53 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | Yes | 380 | 79¢ | 98.3¢ | $373 | +$73 | $0 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | No | 395 | 75.9¢ | 85.5¢ | $338 | +$38 | $0 |
Recent trades
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