sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,435

ElonJail

0xb83…892b
SharpPnL 10k+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$15.2kvol $2.75M
PnL 30d+$9,787gains $2,881 · losses $2,706
PnL 7d+$9,654win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate64.9%adj 64.3% · 30d 63.5%
Open value$10.9kcash n/a
Positions672 / 1,118open / all-time
Max drawdown−9.8%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 7m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$19.2kbelow peak $0Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

74/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale60
Adjusted win rateraw 64.9% · shrunk toward 50%61
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity90

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No5,00050¢98.7¢$4,933+$2,433$0
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes2,4580.6¢26.3¢$647+$631+$508
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes4,5040.1¢14¢$628+$624+$32
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes2,1530.7¢24.9¢$535+$520+$141
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes2,1284¢20.9¢$445+$359$0
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes2,2801¢15.1¢$343+$321+$14
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?No29099.5¢97.8¢$284−$4.93$0
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?No29077¢91.5¢$265+$42$0
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No26593.3¢100¢$265+$18+$57
Will FW be in the next Berlin state government?No21498.1¢97.9¢$209−$0.56$0
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes30.5k0.2¢0.6¢$183+$132$0
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes1,9321.5¢7.9¢$152+$124$0
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes1,1560.2¢11¢$127+$124$0
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes3,0630.7¢4.1¢$124+$104+$19
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes2,6453.2¢4.7¢$123+$39+$1,288
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes2,0002.2¢5.9¢$117+$72$0
Will BSW be in the next Berlin state government?No12197.7¢96.3¢$117−$1.71$0
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes1,6380.6¢7¢$115+$106+$362
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes1,0253.9¢11.2¢$114+$75+$32
Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?Yes18450¢61¢$112+$20−$0.10
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes18554.1¢53.8¢$99−$0.59$0
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes1,0602.3¢8.8¢$93+$68$0
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes9285.3¢9.6¢$89+$39+$99
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes11145.2¢78¢$86+$36+$19
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes1,6920.6¢5¢$84+$73$0
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes4,3040.5¢1.9¢$80+$56+$2.29
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes1,4391.1¢5.3¢$76+$60+$122
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes9015.4¢8.1¢$73+$24+$188
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No8872¢77.5¢$68+$4.84$0
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5,00050¢1.4¢$68−$2,433$0
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes1,0511.2¢5.1¢$54+$42$0
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes1,2492.1¢4.1¢$51+$24+$213
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes9891.7¢5.1¢$50+$34+$0.19
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes2930.2¢6.6¢$19+$19$0
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes1,0535.9¢1.7¢$18−$44$0
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes3740.7¢3.9¢$15+$12$0
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes9,7170.3¢0.2¢$15−$16$0
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes9,7170.3¢0.2¢$15−$16$0
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes3200.5¢2.9¢$9.12+$7.36$0
Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?Yes1090¢78.5¢$7.84−$1.16$0
Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?No1080¢78¢$7.80−$0.20$0
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes2940.2¢2.5¢$7.35+$6.76$0
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes4,2100.6¢0.2¢$6.31−$19$0
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes9582.1¢0.5¢$4.79−$16$0
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes428¢8.5¢$3.57+$0.21$0
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes1,0000.7¢0.3¢$3.00−$4.00$0
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes3,9300.1¢0.1¢$1.96−$1.96$0
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes1421.5¢1.3¢$1.77−$0.35$0
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes2,1131.7¢0.1¢$1.06−$35+$669
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes1,0000.4¢0.1¢$0.50−$3.50$0
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes1,0000.3¢0.1¢$0.50−$2.50$0
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes62.7¢8¢$0.47+$0.31$0
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes1050.5¢0.4¢$0.37−$0.16$0
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?Yes518¢0.1¢$0.05−$4.03+$45
Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes45.8¢0.1¢$0−$0.23−$7.31
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes48.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$48−$2.40
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes45.1k0.2¢0¢$0−$91−$2.73
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Yes39.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$57−$0.87
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes34.6k0.1¢0¢$0−$35−$0.73
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes30.5k0.1¢0¢$0−$31−$1.53
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?Yes29.9k0.1¢0¢$0−$31$0
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?Yes29.8k0.1¢0¢$0−$31+$6.29
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?Yes29.4k0.2¢0¢$0−$61−$0.07
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes28.6k0.3¢0¢$0−$78−$1.73
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Yes28.6k0.1¢0¢$0−$29−$1.43
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes26.1k0.1¢0¢$0−$26$0
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?Yes25.7k0.1¢0¢$0−$31−$0.84
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Yes22.5k0.1¢0¢$0−$23−$1.13
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes22.5k0.1¢0¢$0−$22−$0.90
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Yes22.4k0.2¢0¢$0−$45$0
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Yes22.0k0.2¢0¢$0−$35+$25
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?Yes21.2k0.1¢0¢$0−$22$0
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?Yes21.1k0.2¢0¢$0−$34+$0.02
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Yes20.8k0.1¢0¢$0−$21$0
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes20.1k0.3¢0¢$0−$60−$4.64
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Yes20.0k0.2¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Yes20.0k2.2¢0¢$0−$438+$196
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?Yes19.9k0.3¢0¢$0−$61−$0.76
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes19.3k0.2¢0¢$0−$37+$17
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes18.5k0.1¢0¢$0−$19+$20
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?Yes18.4k0.1¢0¢$0−$25−$1.24
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Yes17.6k0.1¢0¢$0−$18−$0.88
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes16.5k0.1¢0¢$0−$17+$57
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes15.3k0.1¢0¢$0−$15+$149
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Yes15.2k0.1¢0¢$0−$15−$0.76
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes13.5k1.6¢0¢$0−$211−$10
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes13.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$13−$0.65
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?Yes13.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$13−$0.12
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?Yes12.9k0.4¢0¢$0−$52−$0.91
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Yes12.8k0.2¢0¢$0−$21−$0.52
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?Yes12.3k0.4¢0¢$0−$45$0
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?Yes12.0k0.2¢0¢$0−$24+$128
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Yes11.9k1.5¢0¢$0−$182+$179
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?Yes11.7k0.1¢0¢$0−$16+$22
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes11.0k0.2¢0¢$0−$24$0
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes10.9k0.1¢0¢$0−$14−$0.22
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?Yes10.8k0.1¢0¢$0−$11+$10
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?Yes10.6k0.5¢0¢$0−$50+$289
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes10.0k0.5¢0¢$0−$54−$0.51
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes10.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$10+$75

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?13.8¢89$1265%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?92.4¢258$23865%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?4.8¢283$1465%74Sharp
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?1.2¢381$4.6465%74Sharp
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?3.3¢270$9.0265%74Sharp
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?26¢100$2665%74Sharp
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?3.9¢391$1565%74Sharp
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?16.1¢100$1665%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?3.4¢160$5.5265%74Sharp
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?19.7¢89$1865%74Sharp
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?10.1¢191$1965%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?7.5¢20$1.5065%74Sharp
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?6.8¢496$3465%74Sharp
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?16.2¢253$4165%74Sharp
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?3.5¢11$0.4065%74Sharp
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?6.3¢300$1965%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?3.5¢300$1165%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?0.1¢20.8k$2165%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?92.5¢270$25065%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?7.3¢266$1965%74Sharp