| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 3,928 | 87¢ | 87.5¢ | $3,437 | +$21 | +$221 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 3,390 | 48.4¢ | 69.1¢ | $2,341 | +$700 | +$54 | |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 3,051 | 59.9¢ | 64.9¢ | $1,979 | +$151 | $0 | |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 2,262 | 84.7¢ | 83¢ | $1,877 | −$40 | +$2.20 | |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 2,287 | 52.5¢ | 78.5¢ | $1,794 | +$592 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2,040 | 84¢ | 83.5¢ | $1,703 | −$10 | +$282 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 3,771 | 16.4¢ | 42.5¢ | $1,603 | +$986 | +$104 | |
| Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne? | Yes | 1,668 | 48¢ | 94.5¢ | $1,576 | +$775 | $0 | |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,660 | 87.6¢ | 92¢ | $1,527 | +$73 | $0 | |
| Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | Yes | 1,689 | 46.8¢ | 89.5¢ | $1,512 | +$721 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 3,362 | 60.2¢ | 41.5¢ | $1,395 | −$628 | +$7.11 | |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 1,653 | 82¢ | 81.5¢ | $1,347 | −$7.74 | +$62 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 1,400 | 91.2¢ | 90.5¢ | $1,267 | −$10.00 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 1,200 | 97.4¢ | 97¢ | $1,163 | −$6.00 | +$137 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1,100 | 86¢ | 90.5¢ | $996 | +$50 | +$20 | |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 1,274 | 80.4¢ | 70.5¢ | $898 | −$125 | +$0.03 | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 1,957 | 46.9¢ | 41.8¢ | $818 | −$100 | +$33 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 1,641 | 51.6¢ | 48.5¢ | $796 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | No | 853 | 82.7¢ | 89¢ | $759 | +$53 | $0 | |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 900 | 82.3¢ | 82.5¢ | $743 | +$1.75 | +$100 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 1,100 | 65.6¢ | 66.5¢ | $732 | +$9.56 | +$125 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte? | Yes | 746 | 93.2¢ | 97.7¢ | $729 | +$33 | $0 | |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Yes | 835 | 44.1¢ | 81.5¢ | $680 | +$312 | +$22 | |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 1,400 | 53.6¢ | 48.5¢ | $679 | −$72 | $0 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? | Yes | 700 | 89¢ | 93.5¢ | $654 | +$32 | $0 | |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | No | 699 | 84.1¢ | 89¢ | $623 | +$35 | +$22 | |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | No | 630 | 88¢ | 93.5¢ | $589 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 1,406 | 36.5¢ | 40¢ | $562 | +$49 | +$3.50 | |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | Yes | 722 | 74.8¢ | 76.5¢ | $552 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 620 | 88.7¢ | 88.5¢ | $549 | −$1.00 | +$16 | |
| Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County? | Yes | 700 | 87.5¢ | 78.2¢ | $547 | −$65 | $0 | |
| Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? | Yes | 569 | 84.5¢ | 96.2¢ | $547 | +$66 | +$7.09 | |
| Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | Yes | 628 | 86.6¢ | 85.3¢ | $536 | −$8.46 | +$4.28 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 600 | 91.3¢ | 87.5¢ | $525 | −$23 | $0 | |
| Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election? | Yes | 683 | 64.4¢ | 74.5¢ | $509 | +$69 | $0 | |
| Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? | Yes | 1,072 | 34.5¢ | 46.5¢ | $498 | +$129 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 810 | 77¢ | 61.5¢ | $498 | −$125 | $0 | |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 527 | 91.2¢ | 93¢ | $490 | +$9.36 | +$16 | |
| Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | Yes | 606 | 80.5¢ | 80.5¢ | $487 | −$0.50 | +$16 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from São Paulo? | Yes | 500 | 92.4¢ | 96¢ | $480 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1,505 | 63.8¢ | 30.5¢ | $459 | −$501 | −$28 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 600 | 70.2¢ | 71.5¢ | $429 | +$8.00 | $0 | |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 998 | 50.9¢ | 42.2¢ | $421 | −$87 | $0 | |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | Yes | 486 | 83.9¢ | 80.8¢ | $392 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 2,010 | 22.2¢ | 19.5¢ | $392 | −$53 | −$10 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? | No | 400 | 88¢ | 96.4¢ | $386 | +$34 | $0 | |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 413 | 93¢ | 92¢ | $380 | −$3.92 | $0 | |
| Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | No | 364 | 94.1¢ | 99.2¢ | $361 | +$18 | +$13 | |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | Yes | 400 | 90¢ | 89.5¢ | $358 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | No | 374 | 85.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $357 | +$37 | +$118 | |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 400 | 85¢ | 83.5¢ | $334 | −$6.00 | $0 | |
| Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Yes | 565 | 46.8¢ | 57.6¢ | $325 | +$61 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 328 | 96.1¢ | 97.3¢ | $319 | +$3.77 | +$506 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 580 | 60.8¢ | 54.5¢ | $316 | −$37 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 400 | 77.5¢ | 77.5¢ | $310 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 506 | 68.2¢ | 58.5¢ | $296 | −$49 | +$10 | |
| Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader? | Yes | 1,163 | 41.3¢ | 25¢ | $291 | −$190 | $0 | |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? | No | 300 | 94.5¢ | 95.1¢ | $285 | +$1.80 | +$0.90 | |
| Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Yes | 420 | 41.8¢ | 67.4¢ | $283 | +$108 | $0 | |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? | No | 300 | 90¢ | 91.5¢ | $275 | +$4.50 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 310 | 67.8¢ | 87.5¢ | $271 | +$61 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 300 | 71.9¢ | 87.9¢ | $264 | +$48 | +$300 | |
| Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? | Yes | 319 | 82.8¢ | 82.5¢ | $263 | −$1.00 | +$12 | |
| Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | Yes | 300 | 71.5¢ | 83.5¢ | $251 | +$36 | $0 | |
| Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31? | Yes | 300 | 83.3¢ | 82.5¢ | $248 | −$2.50 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 300 | 84.5¢ | 80.5¢ | $242 | −$12 | +$2.10 | |
| Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland? | Yes | 298 | 69.6¢ | 75.1¢ | $223 | +$16 | +$59 | |
| Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | Yes | 385 | 58.3¢ | 54.5¢ | $210 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 254 | 79¢ | 80.5¢ | $205 | +$3.81 | +$6.00 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 210 | 94¢ | 96.3¢ | $202 | +$4.72 | $0 | |
| New pandemic in 2026? | No | 210 | 92¢ | 95.5¢ | $201 | +$7.35 | +$15 | |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 210 | 93¢ | 94.5¢ | $198 | +$3.15 | +$35 | |
| Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections? | Yes | 221 | 91.8¢ | 89.5¢ | $198 | −$5.10 | $0 | |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? | Yes | 205 | 91.3¢ | 96.1¢ | $197 | +$9.65 | $0 | |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 210 | 86¢ | 93.5¢ | $196 | +$16 | +$67 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 210 | 84¢ | 93.5¢ | $196 | +$20 | +$110 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 210 | 84¢ | 93.5¢ | $196 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | No | 226 | 80.4¢ | 86¢ | $194 | +$13 | +$85 | |
| Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election? | Yes | 200 | 93.7¢ | 97.1¢ | $194 | +$6.70 | $0 | |
| Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Yes | 500 | 31.5¢ | 38.5¢ | $192 | +$35 | −$10 | |
| Will Jaroslav Baška win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election? | Yes | 200 | 92¢ | 95.8¢ | $192 | +$7.50 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the SC-03 House seat? | Yes | 200 | 93¢ | 95.5¢ | $191 | +$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten? | Yes | 200 | 89¢ | 95.5¢ | $191 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Sara Nylund be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland? | Yes | 520 | 74.4¢ | 36¢ | $187 | −$200 | $0 | |
| Will Craig Greenberg win the 2026 Louisville mayoral election? | Yes | 203 | 87.9¢ | 91.5¢ | $185 | +$7.29 | $0 | |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | 92¢ | 90.5¢ | $181 | −$3.00 | $0 | |
| Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election? | Yes | 230 | 80¢ | 78.5¢ | $181 | −$3.35 | $0 | |
| Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election? | Yes | 284 | 34.1¢ | 63.5¢ | $180 | +$83 | $0 | |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | No | 200 | 87¢ | 86.5¢ | $173 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | Yes | 381 | 33.5¢ | 45.1¢ | $172 | +$44 | $0 | |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 2,814 | 66.7¢ | 6¢ | $169 | −$1,709 | −$191 | |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | 300 | 54¢ | 56¢ | $168 | +$6.00 | +$54 | |
| Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County? | Yes | 222 | 78.3¢ | 74¢ | $164 | −$9.64 | $0 | |
| Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election? | Yes | 175 | 86.3¢ | 90¢ | $157 | +$6.42 | +$0.96 | |
| Will Mikael Andersson Elfgren be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västmanland? | Yes | 180 | 17¢ | 87¢ | $157 | +$126 | $0 | |
| Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15? | No | 300 | 70¢ | 52¢ | $156 | −$54 | $0 | |
| Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Yes | 1,082 | 23¢ | 14.1¢ | $153 | −$96 | +$86 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 153 | 93.1¢ | 94.3¢ | $144 | +$1.75 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | Yes | 400 | 77¢ | 35.5¢ | $142 | −$166 | $0 | |
| Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge? | Yes | 226 | 75.4¢ | 61.5¢ | $139 | −$31 | $0 | |
