PnL all-time−$389vol $27.2k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate33.3%adj 42.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$636cash n/a
Positions10 / 31open / all-time
Max drawdown−40.4%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$389below peak −$404Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
13/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 33.3% · shrunk toward 50%5
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable50
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity60
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Karol Nawrocki win by over 8%? · Noclosed+$3.08Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Noopen+$1.69Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Noopen+$1.48Will Chris Middleton win Love Island season 12? · Noclosed+$0.96Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 21m? · Noclosed+$0.68
Worst markets
Will PDC win the most seats in the next Bolivia Chamber of Deputies election? · Noopen−$339Will @realDonaldTrump be suspended by Friday? · Yesclosed−$12Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yesopen−$11Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026? · Yesopen−$8.50Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,800 on September 28? · Yesopen−$3.30
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 370 | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $370 | +$1.48 | $0 | |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 266 | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $266 | +$1.60 | +$0.09 | |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 651 | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.50 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on November 8? | Yes | 580 | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.90 | $0 | |
| Will BNB reach $900 in March? | Yes | 480 | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.06 | $0 | |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 470 | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.82 | $0 | |
| Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 30%? | Yes | 343 | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.31 | $0 | |
| Will PDC win the most seats in the next Bolivia Chamber of Deputies election? | No | 340 | 99.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$339 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,800 on September 28? | Yes | 330 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.30 | $0 | |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 193 | 5.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11 | $0 |
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