sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,729

CaptainCoinflip

0xb8f…ce76
SharpWhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+PoliticsWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$89.4kvol $5.30M
PnL 30d+$24gains $875 · losses $1,550
PnL 7d+$64win rate 7d 42.9%
Win rate63.4%adj 62.9% · 30d 41.2%
Open value$44.7kcash n/a
Positions8 / 649open / all-time
Max drawdown−13.5%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$90.1kbelow peak −$941Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

74/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale71
Adjusted win rateraw 63.4% · shrunk toward 50%57
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable94
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity87

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 8

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseNo35.0k50¢99.1¢$34.7k+$17.2k$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes17.7k96.5¢97.5¢$17.3k+$177$0
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?No4,20510.5¢10.3¢$431−$9.62+$0.82
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes35.0k50¢1¢$333−$17.2k$0
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Yes2,5006.6¢7.5¢$188+$23$0
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?Yes1,7305.7¢8¢$138+$39$0
Iran leadership change by October 31?Yes8,1001.9¢1.7¢$138−$12$0
Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?Yes9737.7¢7.5¢$73−$1.48$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?97¢859$83363%74Sharp
BUY NoIsrael military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?85¢20$1763%74Sharp
BUY NoIsrael military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?85¢20$1763%74Sharp
BUY YesWill there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?0.1¢257$0.2663%74Sharp
BUY NoIsrael military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?89.9¢18$1663%74Sharp
BUY NoIsrael military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?91¢59$5463%74Sharp
BUY NoIsrael military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?80¢20$1663%74Sharp
BUY NoIsrael military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?86.9¢136$11863%74Sharp
SELL YesWill The Democrats win 7-8% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?35¢10$3.5063%74Sharp
BUY YesWill there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?0.3¢5$0.0263%74Sharp
SELL YesWill there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?1¢113$1.1363%74Sharp
BUY YesWill there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?30¢5$1.5063%74Sharp
BUY NoIsrael military action against Yemen by October 31?92¢13$1263%74Sharp
BUY NoIsrael military action against Yemen by October 31?91.9¢24$2263%74Sharp
BUY NoIsrael military action against Yemen by October 31?86.9¢30$2663%74Sharp
BUY YesIsrael military action against Yemen by October 31?16.3¢10$1.6363%74Sharp
BUY NoIsrael military action against Yemen by October 31?89.9¢40$3663%74Sharp
BUY NoIsrael military action against Yemen by October 31?89.9¢40$3663%74Sharp
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?97.7¢7,870$7,68963%74Sharp
BUY YesWill a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?99.9¢42$4263%74Sharp